Wisconsin vs. USC Prediction and Odds for Friday, November 25 (Value on Total in Battle 4 Atlantis Finale)

Nov 24, 2022; Paradise Island, BAHAMAS; Wisconsin Badgers forward Tyler Wahl (5) reacts after
Nov 24, 2022; Paradise Island, BAHAMAS; Wisconsin Badgers forward Tyler Wahl (5) reacts after / Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports
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Wisconsin and USC each were on the losing end of a pair of fantastic finishes in the Battle 4 Atlantis semifinals, but now look to finish on a winning note.

The Badgers rallied late, squandered a lead to go to overtime, and lost at the buzzer on a put back layup to Kansas. While a gut wrenching loss to the defending National Champions, the Badgers have an opportunity to get back on track against a PAC-12 foe in USC, who couldn't grab an OT win against another highly touted opponent in Tennessee.

Who has the edge in this one? Let's break it down:

Wisconsin vs. USC Odds, Spread and Total

Wisconsin vs. USC Prediction and Pick

Fatigue could play a role in this one with both teams playing their third game in three days and both losing emotional overtime contests on Thursday.

While I think tired legs could lead to short jump shots, both teams are well equipped to stop the other on offense as the Badgers compact defense limits dribble penetration and the team's are forced to take perimeter shots. Wisconsin's three-point defense has some crazy marks at the moment, a national best 17% opponent three-point percentage, so there will be some regression, but the Trojans may not be able to do it with a sub-30% three-point mark on the season.

On the other side, the Trojans length inside give them a stout defense around the rim, allowing foes to shoot below 42% on two-point tries, and Wisconsin's methodical offense likely won't challenge them here. The team has struggled to find any sort of offense inside as they transition from Johnny Davis and Brad Davision, shooting below 38% on two-point shots.

Wisconsin's pace is outside the top 300, per usual, and the team will drag this game out and limit the possessions with their protective ball handling (28th in turnover rate). I'll take the under in this Friday finale.