Wright State vs. Arizona Prediction and Odds for NCAA Tournament First Round (Expect A Points Bonanza)
By Joe Summers
The No. 16 Wright State Raiders took down Bryant in the First Four and get rewarded with a matchup against the No. 1 Arizona Wildcats Friday night at 7:27 PM EST.
Wright State has won five in a row and covered the spread in four of those, while the Wildcats ran through the Pac-12 Conference Tournament with ease and look like one of the favorites to win the NCAA Tournament.
They'll be missing star guard Kerr Kriisa though, who is still recovering from an ankle injury. Can the Raiders take advantage of his absence to keep it close or will Arizona's depth and talent prove too much to handle?
Let's check out the odds over at WynnBET to help us find some value in this NCAA Tournament First Round matchup:
Wright State vs Arizona Odds, Spread and Total
Spread
- Wright State +21.5 (-110)
- Arizona -21.5 (-110)
Moneyline:
- Wright State: +1800
- Arizona: -8000
Total:
- 156.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
Wright State vs Arizona Southern Betting Trends, Insights and Analysis
Wright State
- Overall Record: 21-13
- ATS Record:15-18
- Over/Under Record: 18-15
- SoS: 224th
- Adjusted Offensive Efficiency: 106.4
- Defensive Efficiency: 107.2
- eFG%: 52.0%
- FT%: 76.6%
- 3PT%: 33.0%
- Last Year’s Tournament Result: N/A
- Odds to win National Championship: +3000 (Field)
Arizona
- Regular Season Record: 24-2
- ATS Record:14-10-2
- Over/Under Record: 13-13
- SoS: 21st
- Adjusted Offensive Efficiency: 118.9
- Defensive Efficiency: 90.6
- eFG%: 55.3%
- FT%: 71.7%
- 3PT%: 34.2%
- Last Year’s Tournament Result: Ineligible
- Odds to win National Championship: +600
Wright State vs Arizona Prediction and Pick
WRIGHT STATE MONEYLINE BABY!! Kidding, kidding. The Raiders have done well to make it this far and looked impressive in their win over Bryant, but the Wildcats are out of their league.
KenPom has Wright State with the 257th-ranked defense - Arizona may put up 100. The Raiders' offense is talented and they're an excellent offensive rebounding team so I do think they'll be able to score. It's just that the Wildcats are probably going to score something ridiculous, like 1.25 points per possession.
But that does lead us to a valuable bet: the over. Arizona has scored over 80 points in six straight games and the over has hit each time. Their offense is firing on all cylinders, even without Kriisa, and I see no reason to think they'll slow down now.
It's not just the Wildcats that have been an over machine, as the over is 6-2 in Wright State's last eight as well. This should be a fun game to watch, just not if you're a Raiders fan. Give me the over as we bask in the glory of every splash of the net.
Pick: Over 156.5 (-110)
Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.
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