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Yankees vs. Mariners Prediction and Odds for Tuesday, August 9 (Back Cole vs. Castillo to Dominate Both Lineups)

By Ben Heisler

Mariners' starting pitcher Luis Castillo makes his second start in a Seattle uniform this evening, facing the Yankees for the second straight game.
Mariners' starting pitcher Luis Castillo makes his second start in a Seattle uniform this evening, facing the Yankees for the second straight game. / Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports
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Newly acquired Seattle Mariners starting pitcher Luis Castillo makes his second start of his Seattle career tonight against the same team he made his Mariners' debut against just last week: the New York Yankees.

The 29-year old right-hander was solid in the Bronx, going 6.2 innings; giving up three runs while striking out eight en route to a 7-3 Seattle victory over Gerrit Cole in his home ballpark.

Tonight, both aces match up again in Seattle as Cole hopes to shake off a six-run first inning allowed at Yankee Stadium his last time out.

Both squads enter Tuesday night somewhat scuffling; just 9-11 combined in their last 20 games. Who breaks out of it tonight?

Here are the latest odds for Tuesday night courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook:

Yankees vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line:

  • Yankees -1.5 (+135)
  • Mariners +1.5 (-155)

Moneyline:

  • Yankees -130
  • Mariners +110

Total:

  • 7 (OVER -110 | UNDER -110)

Yankees vs. Mariners Prediction and Pick

After holding down one of the top lineups in baseball over 6.2 innings in the Bronx Bandbox the last time out, I'm not expected many runs from either side in Seattle tonight.

Castillo has been so reliable and consistent all season long; not allowing more than three earned runs in a start since June 22 when he gave up four in five innings vs. the L.A. Dodgers; his season-high. Over his last six starts since that outing, he's averaging just under seven innings per start with a 1.99 ERA and a K/9 of 10.84.

As for Cole, despite the rough numbers in his previous two matchups (11 ER in 12 IP), he's set for some positive regression this time around. Despite an ERA of 9.00 and 7.50 in those two previous games, his expected Fielding Independent Pitching, or XFIP was way down at 2.68 and 1.59; implying he's had some bad luck in addition to his struggles.

After New York putting nine runs on the board Monday night, I expected Tuesday to be a low scoring game with two dominant starters on the mound in ideal pitching conditions.

PICK: UNDER 7 (-110)

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