Betsided

Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction and Odds for Sunday Night Baseball (Grab This Great Number for Over While You Can)

By Ben Heisler

Boston Red Sox starting pitcher Michael Wacha has looked good with a 6-1 record and 2.69 ERA, but there could be some regression coming.
Boston Red Sox starting pitcher Michael Wacha has looked good with a 6-1 record and 2.69 ERA, but there could be some regression coming. / Brian Fluharty-USA TODAY Sports
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Both the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox find themselves struggling midway through the month of August.

The Bombers are just 2-8 over their last 10 games, and their usually thunderous lineup is hitting just .227 over that span.

Meanwhile, the Red Sox are just 3-7 over their last 10, but own a brutal ERA just under 6 over that same span.

After each team traded 3-2 victories to start the weekend set, how should bettors anticipate the finale on Sunday Night Baseball?

Here are the odds for tonight's Sunday Night AL East showdown from Boston over at WynnBET Sportsbook:

Yankees vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line:

  • Yankees -1.5 (+120)
  • Red Sox +1.5 (-145)

Moneyline:

  • Yankees -130
  • Red Sox +120

Total:

  • 9 (OVER -130 | UNDER -110)

Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction and Pick

My immediate attention gravitated to the over at WynnBET, who seems to be one of the lone sportsbooks to not push this number over to 9.5 as of this writing. That's fine with me, as I'm happy to lay some more juice for a far better number in this matchup.

Taillon's put up solid numbers for New York this year, but his 11-2 record is not a reflection of him being all that dominant. His ERA is just under 4 and his strikeouts-per-nine are only at 7.76; almost a full strikeout less than a season ago. In his two starts vs. the Red Sox back in July, he was solid for one game at home (6 IP, 1 ER), but struggled in Fenway; going only five innings and allowing three homers.

As for Wacha, the overall numbers in his limited starts this year look pretty good. He's 6-1 in 13 starts with a 2.69 ERA. However, the metrics indicate some serious regression on the horizon; evidenced by an expected ERA (xERA) that's more than two full runs above his regular ERA at 4.77. His expected Fielder Independent Pitching (xFIP) also suggests the same.

Between clear skies and a slight breeze in Boston tonight, I'm backing both offenses to wake up under the national spotlight.

LEAN: OVER 9 (-130)

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