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MLB hace proyección de Juan Soto que lo coloca en el Salón de la Fama
Por Mariana Moreno
Desde que llegó a la MLB, Juan Soto ha mostrado que todo el potencial que le atribuían es cierto. En 2020 el outfielder de los Nacionales de Washington se convirtió en el campeón bate más joven de la Liga Nacional y es sólo el comienzo.
Se acaba de publicar unas proyecciones para la carrera de Soto que ponen al dominicano de 22 años de edad a la altura del Salón de la Fama.
Sólo cinco jugadores –cuatro de ellos con placa en Cooperstown- en sus temporadas de 21 años tuvieron un OPS+ más alto que él (mínimo 1,000 apariciones en el plato): Mike Trout, Ted Williams, Jimmie Foxx, Rogers Hornsby y Ty Cobb.
Juan Soto is off to a Hall of Fame start to a career. Nobody's had an OPS+ like his through age 21 and *not* made the HOF (or been Trout, who will make it)
— Sarah Langs (@SlangsOnSports) March 16, 2021
Now there are ZiPS projections for Soto through 2035. They're HOF-LEVEL
1,996 RBI
562 HR
1,762 BBhttps://t.co/qOwI9fTgUx
De acuerdo con unas proyecciones de FanGraphs en la temporada en la que tendrá 36 años (2035), Soto tendrá estos números acumulados:
Línea ofensiva de .298/.428/.593
163 OPS +
91.1 WAR
2.317 hits
1.996 carreras impulsadas
562 jonrones
1.762 boletos
¿Qué significa esto? El porcentaje de embasados de .428 lo tendría empatado en el décimo lugar (mínimo 3.000 apariciones en el plato), con Jimmie Foxx y Tris Speaker. En la era moderna sólo hay seis jugadores con mejor estadística: Ted Williams, Babe Ruth, Lou Gehrig, Barry Bonds, Roger Hornsby y Ty Cobb.
Los 1.762 boletos lo ubicarían en el séptimo lugar de todos los tiempos. Los únicos jugadores con más pasaportes serían Barry Bonds, Rickey Henderson, Ruth, Williams, Joe Morgan y Carl Yastrzemski.
El porcentaje de slugging de .593 en la carrera de Soto lo haría séptimo de todos los tiempos (mínimo 3.000 PA), detrás de Williams, Gehrig, Foxx, Bonds y Hank Greenberg.
El total de jonrones proyectados le pondría en el puesto 15 en la lista actual, a uno de empatar a Reggie Jackson en el puesto 14. Se proyecta que Soto tendrá 1.996 carreras impulsadas en el 2035, la misma cantidad que Barry Bonds, por lo que estaría empatado en el cuarto lugar de la historia.
Aunque las proyecciones son asombrosas, Soto todavía tiene una larga carrera por delante para demostrar que puede cumplir con el pronóstico.