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¿Qué es el número mágico en el béisbol y cómo se calcula?
Por Mariana Moreno
¿Qué es el número mágico en el béisbol?
En poco más de una semana la temporada regular 2023 de la MLB habrá llegado a su fin, pero todavía falta completar el cuadro de equipos clasificados a los playoffs.
En los días finales de la campaña de Grandes Ligas se librará una lucha feroz por los pocos boletos que quedan disponibles para ser parte de la postemporada.
Por eso, es en esta época que se escucha con mucha frecuencia el término “número mágico”, que si bien es familiar para los aficionados, muchos desconocen realmente qué significa y cómo se calcula.
¿Qué es el número mágico?
El número mágico no es más que la cantidad de victorias que necesita un equipo para asegurar su clasificación (aunque también se usa para calcular los juegos que se necesitan para ser campeón de división).
Esta cifra se combina con las derrotas de un club establecido como referencia para dar certeza matemática al avance a la siguiente ronda de competencia.
¿Cómo se calcula el número mágico?
Hay una fórmula simple para calcular el número mágico: Número Mágico = C + 1 -JGA – JPB. Sólo debe estar claro cuál es el equipo que se tomará como referencia. El cálculo sigue el siguiente criterio: el Número Mágico es igual al total de juegos más 1, menos las victorias del equipo A y las derrotas del equipo B.
𝗠𝗮𝗴𝗶𝗰 𝗻𝘂𝗺𝗯𝗲𝗿 𝗱𝗼𝘄𝗻 𝘁𝗼 𝟰!#MNTwins 7#ATOBTTR 0 pic.twitter.com/j4OQJ3yNxp
— Bally Sports North (@BallySportsNOR) September 20, 2023
Un ejemplo de cálculo del número mágico
Supongamos que tenemos esta tabla de clasificación, que avanzan los primeros 4 equipos y se juegan 48 juegos en total:
Equipo JG JP
Equipo A 23 16
Equipo B 20 19
Equipo C 19 20
Equipo D 18 21
Equipo E 17 22
Equipo F 15 24
Equipo G 15 24
Equipo H 14 25
En este punto del campeonato se han disputado 39 y faltan 9 para terminar la ronda regular. El número mágico del equipo A es 4. Es decir, que clasificaría si consigue 4 victorias en los 9 partidos que le quedan, o si el equipo E (que está en el quinto lugar) suma 4 derrotas. La combinación de ambos resultados también sirve.