3 Best NBA Prop Bets for Suns vs. Mavericks Game 4 (Back Devin Booker, Fade Deandre Ayton)
By Peter Dewey
The Phoenix Suns are looking to rebound from a horrible offensive performance in Game 3 against the Dallas Mavericks when Game 4 tips off at 3:30 p.m. EST on Sunday.
The Suns turned the ball over 17 times in Game 3, and oddsmakers aren’t reading too much into the loss, as Phoenix is a 2.5-point favorite at WynnBET Sportsbook.
I’m eying a few prop bets in this game, so here are three of my favorites that you should consider betting:
Best Prop Bets for Suns vs. Mavericks
- Devin Booker OVER 26.5 Points (-115)
- Deandre Ayton UNDER 9.5 Rebounds (+105)
- Suns Team Total OVER 108.5 Points (-110)
Devin Booker OVER 26.5 Points (-115)
Devin Booker has cleared this number just once since returning from his hamstring injury, but he was seeing solid volume (20 and 19 shots) in the first two games of this series before Game 3’s clunker led to him taking just 13.
I think the Suns get back to their well-oiled offensive game plan today after a sloppy Game 3, and that means a steady dose of shots for Booker.
Booker averaged 26.8 points per game in the regular season, and he easily cleared this number in his last game prior to the injury, scoring 30-plus points in the first half. He looks healthy enough to get back to his high-scoring ways this afternoon.
Deandre Ayton UNDER 9.5 Rebounds (+105)
The OVER on Deandre Ayton’s rebounds prop is juiced to -145 at WynnBET, and I feel like it is a trap. Ayton has gone under 9.5 boards in seven of his nine playoff games.
Yes, he finished with 11 boards in Game 3, but I’m not going to let that push me into betting an OVER at that price.
The Suns were middle of the pack in rebounding percentage all season, so even if Ayton has a good game on the glass, I don’t think double-digits is a lock.
Suns Team Total OVER 108.5 Points (-110)
This is my favorite bet in this game, as the Suns have put up 109 or more points in every playoff win and in seven of their nine postseason games this year.
Phoenix was fifth in the league in offensive rating this season, and it took 17 turnovers for the Suns to lose Game 3 and be held to just 94 points.
When Phoenix doesn’t turn the ball over, it can pile up points in a big way, and it scored 129 and 121 points in the first two games of this series. This number feels like a bit of an overreaction to an outlier game by the Suns in Game 3.
Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record in the NBA this season here.