3 Best NBA Prop Bets Today for Mavericks vs. Suns Game 5 (Chris Paul Due for Bounce-Back Game)

Phoenix Suns guard Chris Paul.
Phoenix Suns guard Chris Paul. / Chris Graythen/GettyImages
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There may not be a team more glad to be back at home than the Phoenix Suns. They dropped back-to-back games against the Dallas Mavericks on the road to fall into a 2-2 tie in the Western Conference semifinals, but now return home for Game 5. 

Phoenix turned the ball over 17-plus times in both Games 3 and 4, and now it needs to get back on track at home to hold off Luka Doncic and company. 

The Mavericks have improved on the defensive end of the floor in the last two games, which has led to some adjusted player prop lines at WynnBET

Here are my three favorite picks for this crucial Game 5.

Best NBA Prop Bets for Mavericks vs. Suns Game 5

  • Dorian Finney-Smith OVER 11.5 Points (-135)
  • Chris Paul OVER 16.5 Points (-125)
  • Deandre Ayton UNDER 10.5 Rebounds (-110)

Dorian Finney-Smith OVER 11.5 Points (-135)

Dorian Finney-Smith has been absolutely huge for the Mavericks in the playoffs, as he's averaging 13.4 points per game while shooting 43.1 percent from beyond the arc. 

DFS has cleared 11.5 points in seven of his 10 playoff games, and the Mavericks wing has been even better in this series, scoring 14-plus in three of four games. 

Yes, he did put up a two-point clunker because of foul trouble in Game 2, but that seems like a major outlier. I love DFS to keep up his strong play tonight. 

Chris Paul OVER 16.5 Points (-125)

Chris Paul had two nightmare performances in Game 3 and Game 4, turning the ball over seven times in Game 3 and then fouling out early in the fourth quarter in Game 4. 

He scored just 12 and five points in those games, but he’s cleared 16.5 points in seven of his other eight playoff games this postseason. 

CP3 is simply too good to have another bad game with the series hanging in the balance, so I’ll back him as a scorer in Game 5, as that’s where he’s been the most consistent. 

Deandre Ayton UNDER 10.5 Rebounds (-110)

Deandre Ayton has been far less dominant since Game 1 of this series, but he has cleared his rebound prop in two straight, grabbing 11 in Game 3 and Game 4. 

Despite that, I’m fading him in Game 5, as Ayton had cleared 10.5 boards just once in the playoffs before the series shifted to Dallas. 

The Suns haven’t been nearly as effective on offense in the last two games, so I expect some positive regression there, and thus a few less chances for Ayton to grab offensive boards after he picked up 10 over the last two games.


Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record in the NBA this season here.