Two very different offenses are set to square off, with Jalen Hurts and Brady leading two contrasting schemes. That always makes for some fun prop bets.
Here are three player prop bets that I have my eye on for Thursday night’s matchup.
Miles Sanders UNDER 32.5 Rushing Yards
Miles Sanders already has gone on record saying the team panicked and abandoned the run in Week 3 against the Dallas Cowboys, and I think the Eagles are in a similar spot here.
Philadelphia is facing the NFL’s best run defense in the Buccaneers, who allow just 2.9 yards per carry and have given up just 229 rushing yards through five games.
Sanders is coming off his highest snap rate of the season in Week 5, but he still only had 11 carries for 45 yards. The third-year back has failed to reach 30 yards in two of his last three games and is still in a timeshare with Kenneth Gainwell.
I’ll take the under in a game that I expect Nick Sirianni to quickly turn to a pass-heavy offense to keep pace with the Bucs.
Zach Ertz Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+200)
Zach Ertz isn’t the same he used to be, but he’s probably going to run as the Eagles’ top tight end in this matchup after Dallas Goedert was placed on the Reserve/COVID-19 list.
Goedert is third on the team in catches (15) and yards (216) this season, but his absence should open up a bigger role for Ertz (14 catches, 160 yards, one touchdown).
Hurts has targeted his two tight ends 44 times through the first five weeks and they’ve caught three of his seven touchdown passes. The Eagles will likely be playing from behind, so I love Ertz to catch a score at such favorable odds.
Leonard Fournette OVER 63.5 Rushing Yards (-125)
The Eagles may have the No. 3 pass defense in the NFL, but they also are 30th against the run. The Bucs do throw the ball a lot, but I expect Bruce Arians to turn to his running back a little more against a weak Philly run defense.
Fournette has completely monopolized rushing opportunities in the Bucs' backfield (56 to 26 over Ronald Jones), and he ran for 92 and 67 yards in his last two games on 32 carries.
If Fournette gets similar usage in Week 6, he should easily hit the over on this prop.