3 Best Prop Bets for Grizzlies vs Warriors Game 3 (Fade Curry, Back Klay)
By Ben Heisler
At the start of the Western Conference semi-finals between the Memphis Grizzlies and Golden State Warriors, Golden State was a -230 favorite to knock off Memphis.
In Games 1 and 2, the Warriors snuck back to San Francisco with home-court advantage, winning by 1 in Game 1, followed by a loss in Game 2.
Despite being outscored and outplayed in the series by Memphis, the odds for the Warriors to advance have moved up sizably to -300.
The Warriors are a 7-point favorite at home tonight with the total at WynnBET sitting at 226.
BetSided's Peter Dewey laid out his prediction and pick for tonight's Game 3 here, but if you're looking for a few player props to decide on, here are three of my favorites on the board.
All odds listed are via WynnBET.
Best Prop Bets For Grizzlies vs. Warriors Game 3
- Klay Thompson OVER 21.5 Points (-125)
- Stephen Curry UNDER 28.5 PTS (-105)
- Desmond Bane OVER 24.5 PTS + REBS + ASTS (-110)
Klay Thompson OVER 21.5 Points (-125)
Thompson has failed to break this prop in three straight games, but the minutes are there, as well as the shot attempts. They're simply just not going in the hoop.
Thompson had cruised past this projection in the two previous games, and once he gets into a rhythm behind the arc, watch out. He played 41 minutes in Game 2, despite going 5 of 19 from the floor; 2 of 12 from downtown. He's too good of a shooter to stay in a slump for much longer.
Back at home, expect the rims to be a little more forgiving.
Stephen Curry UNDER 28.5 PTS (-105)
It's easy to predict some home cooking for Steph at the Chase Center where his team is a sizable favorite, but this is a "fade the public" play as well as betting on his supporting cast at not-so-inflated odds.
Via WynnBET Sportsbook, Curry's OVER 39.5 PTS + REBS + ASTS prop (-130) is the most-bet prop on the board today.
Curry cruised past it during Game 2, going for 27-9-8 in the 106-101 loss, but he essentially tripled his rebounding average during the postseason in that game. With the aforementioned Thompson likely to get his shot back in Game 3, that takes away from the most certain of the Curry props: points.
Desmond Bane OVER 24.5 PTS + REBS + ASTS (-110)
Bane actually has a negative correlation with Dillon Brooks (suspended for Game 3) on the floor, so this is actually a benefit to his prop numbers to play with him not there.
Unfortunately in both games of the series so far, Bane has struggled mightily, only getting to half of his projected number on the board with 12 P-R-A's in each game.
The sample is small, and the Warriors are an elite defensive team, but in the previous four games, Bane had beaten this number in points alone all but once (23 points in Game 6 vs. the Timberwolves).
Ja Morant has been superb, but the Warriors are starting to add an extra defender to force him to pass out. Bane will likely be one of the biggest beneficiaries of added attention on Morant, and he'll need to take advantage for Memphis to have a shot.
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