5 Worst NFL Teams to Bet Against the Spread in First Half of the 2022 Season

Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (12) walks off the field after a pass was intercepted by
Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (12) walks off the field after a pass was intercepted by / Junfu Han / USA TODAY NETWORK
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Yesterday I went over the five best teams to back ATS in the league now that the first half of the NFL season is done. We went over all the teams that are surprising us this year and how they’ve been able to cover these spreads.

Every coin has two sides. Now, we’re going to look at some of the disappointing teams in the league that have lost us money week after week. 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-6-1)

The Buccaneers haven’t covered since Week 2, when they beat the Saints 20-10. The Bucs aren’t a team to hitch your wagon to, as they have one of the least efficient offenses and have continuously come up short. They’ve been favorites in every game this season, but it’s clear this is a team that needs work. 

Good teams win and great teams cover. The Bucs haven’t done much of either this season. 

LA Rams (2-5-1)

The Rams were able to get a push last week against the Bucs, but that was a game they should've won and covered in. Los Angeles’s offense has been one-dimensional, while the defense (17th in scoring) can’t get the team the same lift as last season. 

Los Angeles is one of the more disappointing teams this season. With zero ATS wins as an underdog and just two against teams struggling more than it, the future isn’t bright. 

Green Bay Packers (3-6) 

The Packers lost Davante Adams and forgot how to play football. They covered against the Bears – who Aaron Rodgers owns – but haven’t covered as favorites outside of that. If the Packers are anything over a field goal favorite, they shouldn’t be trusted. Aside from the Chicago win, their wins have come by a combined 5 points. 

They scored 9 points against the league’s worst defense. The panic button has been pushed in Green Bay, and we should just wait it out. 

New Orleans Saints (3-6) 

New Orleans hasn’t won many games this year, and its ATS record is a direct reflection of that. The Saints have been pegged as small underdogs (less than 3 points) in four of their nine games and haven’t covered in any of them. It’s tough to cover as a small favorite, however, that’s what the season looks like moving forward for the Saints. 

They aren’t bad enough to be touchdown underdogs, but you can’t trust them as favorites. They are a middling team that loses close games – which is just too much stress if you ask me. 

Jacksonville Jaguars (3-6)

I don’t think many people expected Jacksonville to be a powerhouse, but they would at least be frisky. Coming into the season, the Jaguars fit the mold for a team that could stay in close games despite being big underdogs. That hasn’t happened too much this season – at least lately. 

Jacksonville has failed to cover in three games as an underdog, but hasn’t covered as a favorite yet this year. Unless the spread is disrespectfully big, Jacksonville isn’t the play. The Jags allowed two late game touchdowns that have forced them to miss the spread – as well as simply come out flat in games it's supposed to win.

You can find Donnavan Smoot’s full betting record here.


Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.