Tom Brady looked like a lock to win the NFL’s MVP award heading into Week 15, soaring as high as -155 at WynnBET over the rest of the NFL.
But oh, how the tide has turned.
Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers were shut out on Sunday Night Football, opening the door for Green Bay Packers star Aaron Rodgers to win his second consecutive NFL MVP award.
Rodgers and the Packers clinched the NFC North title with a win over the Baltimore Ravens and now have the best record in the NFL at 11-3.
Brady is having a fantastic season, but after Week 15, I think this is Rodgers' award to lose. While WynnBET doesn’t have him favored to win MVP (Rodgers is +190, Brady is +145), there’s no doubt in my mind that the Packers quarterback should be.
Rodgers has been elite over his past four games, and while his absence due to COVID-19 (and his comments about the vaccine) certainly don’t help his case, the play on the field speaks for itself.
As well as Brady has played this year, him and Rodgers have eerily similar numbers despite the Green Bay star missing a game this season.
Let’s break it down:
Aaron Rodgers vs. Tom Brady Stat Comparison: Who Should Win MVP?
- Brady: 10-4
- Rodgers: 11-3
- Brady: 4,348
- Rodgers: 3,487
- Brady: 36
- Rodgers: 30
- Brady: 11
- Rodgers: 4
- Brady: 64.0
- Rodgers: 66.9
- Brady: 100.4
- Rodgers: 110.4
If you want to look at counting stats, Brady has them, but make no mistake about it, Rodgers has been the better quarterback this season.
Maybe Rodgers is a little fortunate that his dud against the Saints came in Week 1, but Brady has been much-more turnover prone this season. Now, with Chris Godwin out for the season and Mike Evans and Leonard Fournett banged up, Brady may have a tough time over these final three weeks.
Rodgers, on the other hand, doesn’t have nearly the same weapons (although he does have Davante Adams), but he does have the edge in the standings. By winning out against the Cleveland Browns, Minnesota Vikings and Detroit Lions, Rodgers would secure the best record in the NFL and the No. 1 seed in the conference he and Brady both play in.
With the numbers being so similar, how can you justify giving Brady the MVP?
I don’t think you can, and I love Rodgers at +190 still with just three weeks to play. Brady is going to throw for more yards and touchdowns, but when it comes to efficiency and winning play this season, Rodgers has him beat.