AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Picks and Betting Preview

Daniel Berger will look to repeat as champion at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
Daniel Berger will look to repeat as champion at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. / Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports
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The PGA Tour continues its West Coast swing with this week's AT&T Pebble Pro-Am, one of the more popular non-major events on the schedule as some big-name celebrities tee it up next to Tour players for a fun weekend of action.

This year's edition of the event won't feature the caliber of Tour players that it has in years past, as the majority of the top players in the world will be playing the Ras al Khaimah Championship on the DP World Tour, formally known as the European Tour.

Regardless, there's still plenty of good golfers competing on the PGA Tour this week that we can wager on. Let's take a look at the top 10 odds via WynnBET to win this week's event.

Odds to Win the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

  • Patrick Cantlay +750
  • Daniel Berger +1200
  • Will Zalatoris +1800
  • Jason Day +2000
  • Jordan Spieth +2000
  • Cameron Tringale +2500
  • Justin Rose +2500
  • Seamus Power +2800
  • Maverick McNealy +2800
  • Kevin Kisner +4000

How to Handicap the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

This is another one of those dreaded events that we see during the West Coast swing that are hosted on more than one course. Just like The American Express, the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am is held at three different tracks, which makes this event a nightmare to handicap.

Each golfer will play Pebble Beach, Spyglass Hill and Monterrey Peninsula once each on Thursday, Friday, and Saturday. They'll return to Pebble Beach for the final round on Sunday, where a victor will be crowned.

With no statistical data from two of the three courses this week, it's best to focus on Pebble Beach. I also tend to lean more on past success at this event than I do with other tournaments.

Iron and wedge play, as well as strong putting, is what you should focus on when it comes to Pebble Beach. Things will change when the USGA comes around to hold the US Open at this course, but when it comes to the Pro-Am, it's best to keep it simple.

Key Stats for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

  • Ball Striking
  • Stroked Gained: Approach the Green
  • Approach Proximity from 100-125 Yards
  • Scrambling Percentage
  • Strokes Gained: Putting

Picks to Win the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

Daniel Berger +1200 (1 unit)

Like I said above, I'm going to lean on golfers who have a strong history at this event. My first two picks will mirror exactly that. Sure, these are square bets, but on multi-course events, it's best not to overthink things.

Daniel Berger is the defending champion of the event, and he finish 5th here the year before in 2020. Even back in 2015, Berger finished 10th in the field.

He's already fourth on Tour in strokes gained: approach the green this season, and with a T20 finish at last week's Farmers Insurance Open, he seems primed to make a run at going back-to-back at this event.

Jason Day +2000 (1 unit)

Jason Day has also had a ton of success at this event, but I would've stayed away from him if it wasn't for his T3 finish at the Farmers Insurance Open last week. People forget he was the top golfer in the world not so long ago, and a strong finish last week gives me hope that he can show flashes of his prime once again.

He's competed in this event every year since 2013, and he hasn't finished worse than 11th since 2014. His last five times competing at this event he's finished 7th, 4th, 4th, 2nd, and 5th. It would be foolish not to at least sprinkle on him this week.

Mito Pereira +5000 (0.5 Unit)

I've already bet on two obvious choices, so I'm going with someone who hasn't competed at this event as my third pick. Pereira competed at Pebble Beach only once, it was at the 2019 US Open where he missed the cut, but I think he's set up nice to succeed this week.

He's a fantastic iron player, ranking seventh in strokes gained: approach the green heading into this week, and he's a decent putter, ranking 71st.

He was a popular name amongst golf bettors early in the season, and I named him as one of the golfers I expect to have a break out year, but after a few quiet performances, he's now presenting some betting value. I'll take a shot at him at 50/1 after a solid T25 last week.


You can see Iain's detailed betting record here.