Betsided

Bengals vs. Chiefs Updated Prediction and Odds (What Bettors Need to Know)

By Donnavan Smoot

Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow.
Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow. / Andrew Nelles / Tennessean.com / USA
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In a postseason full of rematches, we get one more in the AFC Championship game. The Cincinnati Bengals will travel to Kansas City to take on the Chiefs with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line. The Bengals beat the Chiefs in Week 17, but can they do it again.

Kansas City is coming off a miracle win against the Bills. Will they be out of gas or was last game just the spark they needed to get back to the Super Bowl?

Here are the odds for their matchup via WynnBET.

Bengals vs. Chiefs Updated Spread, Odds and Over/Under

Spread: 

  • Bengals +7 (-110)
  • Chiefs -7 (-110)

Moneyline: 

  • Bengals +265
  • Chiefs -330
  • Total 54.5 (Over: -110/Under: -110)

Bengals vs. Chiefs Betting Trends

  • Cincinnati is 7-3 ATS as an underdog this season.
  • The Chiefs have scored at least 31 points in each of the last three AFC Championship Games
  • The Bengals have covered in six straight games. 
  • The OVER has hit in seven straight Chiefs’ games
  • Andy Reid is 5-3 in playoff rematches during his time in Kansas City (2-0 this year)

Bengals vs. Chiefs Prediction and Pick

When the Bengals and Chiefs met for the first time this year, they combined for 67 points. When Ben Heisler first looked at this game, he saw the OVER being very much in play. 

"As for the Chiefs' offense, the Bengals are 19th in total DVOA: defense according to the Football Outsiders' metric; and 24th vs. the pass. The Bills, who the Chiefs just dropped 42 on with ease, were ranked No. 1 in the league. As long as Kansas City doesn't let up like they did a few weeks ago, they should easily move the ball on the Bengals. ...WIth weather in the mid-to-high 40's and clear sunny skies in the forecast next Sunday in K.C., expect plenty of scoring as both offenses flex their muscles all game long."

 I agree with Heisler that the game will feature a lot of points, but I think the better bet here is on the Bengals to cover. Kansas City is just 6-5 as a home favorite this year and the Bengals are on a roll. The Chiefs need their defense to show up in a major way to cover, but I don't think it will be able to hold down Burrow, Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins and Joe Mixon all day long.

Pick:  Bengals +7 (-110)

You can find Donnavan Smoot’s full betting record here.

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