Daily Dinger: Best Home Run Prop Bet Picks for Wednesday, May 4 (Aaron Judge Has Dream Matchup in Toronto)
By Ben Heisler
May the 4th be with you on this packed Wednesday of MLB action!
Two of our "Daily Dinger" picks went yard on Tuesday night; as the force is strong in BetSided's Peter Dewey and Donnavan Smoot. One of which even came from the Evil Empire in Giancarlo Stanton of the Yankees!
Unfortunately, I'm fresh out of groan-worthy Star Wars puns (light sabermetrics simply wasn't going to cut it), so dive into top home run prop bet picks, we shall.
Ok, seriously... I'm done.
During the 2022 MLB season, our BetSided team of editors will share our top home run prop bet picks of the day.
WynnBET Sportsbook provides home run prop betting odds for several players across each game, but not every player mentioned is always available. Bettors can still wager on these matchups, as well as bet on multiple unique prop betting opportunities.
Odds shown are consensus if they are not available at WynnBET. If listed as TBD, it means odds have not been made available as of this writing.
Best Home Run Picks for Wednesday, May 4
- Kyle Tucker (+405) - available at WynnBET Sportsbook
- Bryce Harper (+450)
- J.T. Realmuto (+600)
- Aaron Judge (+370) - available at WynnBET Sportsbook
- Bo Bichette (+445) - available at WynnBET Sportsbook
Kyle Tucker - Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros
The Astros' offense has been stuck in neutral through the first month, but since late April, it's hard to put any blame on Tucker. His 8-game hit streak got snapped Tuesday night; going 0-2, but his on-base streak stayed in-play; walking twice in four plate appearances.
Tucker faces Mariners right-hander Matt Brash who's got great stuff, but not much ability to control it. He's walked 12 batters in his last there starts, and enters the matinee 1-2 with an ERA just south of 7. While Tucker has actually been slightly better vs. left-handers in his career, so far in 2022, all of his home runs have come against right-handed pitching.
I'll bet on Tucker to continue to see the ball well as the Astros look for the sweep at home. -- Ben Heisler
Bryce Harper - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Texas Rangers
Harper hit a homer on Sunday against the Mets and that seemed to get him out of a nearly week-long slump without a home run. I think that was going to be the awakening his bat needed. He’s hit the ball well in the last five games, giving me hope he can make contact and go yard today.
Harper has only hit one home run against lefties this year, but I’ll take a chance on the star to figure out his struggles tonight. -- Donnavan Smoot
J.T. Realmuto - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Texas Rangers
Realmuto hits lefties well, hitting .260 against southpaws and has a nearly identical slugging percentage against them as he does right handed pitching, and will face Martin Perez, who is due for some regression. His groundball percentage is up nearly 10% from the last 3 years and I'm not buying that this is a new found Perez.
I think he gets whacked by a Phillies lineup that is 6th in slugging against lefties, and I'll take Realmuto to go deep given his historical power. -- Reed Wallach
Aaron Judge - New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays
Can we make it two straight days in Daily Dinger?
Juan Soto cashed in by going yard on Tuesday, and now I’m looking to another guy who homered last night, New York Yankees star Aaron Judge.
Judge is facing Toronto Blue Jays lefty Yusei Kikuchi on Wednesday, someone who has homered off of twice in just nine career at bats! Kikuchi comes into this game with three homers allowed through his first four starts and a 5.52 ERA.
Meanwhile, Judge is hitting the cover of the ball with nine homers already this season. Over his last 10 games, he’s slashing .357/.386/.976 with eight homers and 17 RBIs.
Trust the hot bat to stay hot tonight. -- Peter Dewey
Bo Bichette - Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees
In solidarity with my Blue Jays, who will avoid getting swept by the evil empire that is the New York Yankees today, I'm going to back Bo Bichette to hit a dinger and lead Toronto to victory.
I don't care how nice of a mustache Nestor Cortes has. He gave up 1.4 home runs per nine innings last season, so we're going to see some regression sooner rather than later from the Yankees pitcher.
Follow along with our team's updated Daily Dinger record for the season HERE