Best MLB Parlay Picks Today (Dodgers & Giants Highlight Matchups With Huge Pitching Advantages)
By Joe Summers
![Logan Webb has been dominant at home as the Giants host the Diamondbacks tonight Logan Webb has been dominant at home as the Giants host the Diamondbacks tonight](https://images2.minutemediacdn.com/image/upload/c_crop,w_4151,h_2334,x_0,y_113/c_fill,w_720,ar_16:9,f_auto,q_auto,g_auto/images/GettyImages/mmsport/426/01g7sjnjfryv1hvxgrq4.jpg)
The goal here is to hit all of my bets. Thus, yesterday's reverse sweep was not exactly what I'd hoped for.
But hey, the Boston Red Sox couldn't have made the historic 3-0 comeback in the 2004 ALCS if they didn't lose the first three, right?
I'll do my best David Ortiz and Manny Ramirez impressions today - it's time to make history.
Without further ado, let's get into my favorite MLB parlay picks of the day with the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook:
Best MLB Parlay Picks Today
Braves (-185) vs Mets
It's everyone's favorite day of the week: Spencer Strider day! My new favorite athlete in the history of the universe is absolutely destroying lineups, allowing just three hits and one run over his last two starts while striking out 23 batters. He's the first rookie in history to record back-to-back outings with 11+ strikeouts and two or fewer hits.
9 STRIKEOUTS IN 3 INNINGS.
— Bally Sports: Braves (@BravesOnBally) July 8, 2022
SPENCER STRIDER THINGS ARE HAPPENING. pic.twitter.com/i1UYVFOO6S
I could watch this stuff literally all day. It's becoming my favorite activity: wake up, drink some coffee, and watch Strider throw gas.
He's allowed one or fewer runs in five of his last seven starts, allowing two in another with a poor outing mixed in. I expect his dominance to continue against a Mets' lineup that ranks 22nd in OPS against right-handed pitchers over the last two weeks.
But I also expect the Braves to hammer David Peterson, who has a 5.59 ERA this month and walked five batters in his last start. Atlanta is 17-3 in its last 20 as a home favorite. With Strider on the mound, trust that trend to continue.
Dodgers (-152) vs Cardinals
Winners of 11 of 12, the surging Dodgers should stay scorching-hot against Matthew Liberatore and the Cardinals. Liberatore is a pitcher I'll consistently fade moving forward. He's got a 5.49 expected ERA and an MLB Statcast Pitching Profile that might as well have a "FADE ME" sign on it:
Gross.
Meanwhile, Mitch White has a 1.88 ERA over his last four starts. Look for the Dodgers to improve to 7-2 in their last nine as road favorites thanks to the advantage White provides over Liberatore.
Padres (-131) vs Rockies
San Diego is 4-0 in Mike Clevinger's road starts this year as he's compiled a 2.61 ERA away from home. He's a fun performer, taunting his opponents with a dance of sorts until it's time to strike:
Mike Clevinger, Multitasking.
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) July 5, 2022
Getting his steps in & the K on a wicked 80mph Slider. 🤢 pic.twitter.com/a9rB7pVRT6
While Clevinger sways to the beat, Austin Gomber apparently has two left feet. The Rockies' 28-year-old lefty has a 6.64 ERA at home as the Rockies are 1-4 in his last five outings at Coors Field.
The Padres have advantages on offense and defense with the better starter and bullpen. At short odds, take San Diego to pull off a second straight win in the series.
Giants (-210) vs Diamondbacks
Every time I put the Giants in one of these, I swear to myself I'm not going to do it again. Then the world goes and pits Dallas Keuchel against them and I have no choice. One of these days I'll learn my lesson, but today won't be that day.
Keuchel is my single favorite pitcher to fade. He has a 10.18 ERA in his last five starts and dating back to last season, his team is 2-9 in his last 11 road outings. I'm pretty sure I could score on him, so the Giants better dang be able to.
Logan Webb pitches at home today coming off a start where he worked 8 innings of 1 run ball last time out.
— SportsBook Breakers (@SBBreakers) July 12, 2022
Webb is 14-0 since 9-2020 starting at home when he worked at least 5 innings and allowed at least a run last start.#SDQL #MLB #Giants #SFGiants #Diamondbacks #Dbacks pic.twitter.com/I7Fg13enMY
Even if the turnstile we call Keuchel wasn't on the mound, I'd still be tempted to back Logan Webb for San Francisco. He's thrown five consecutive quality starts with a 1.32 ERA in that stretch. The guy is rolling on all cylinders, giving us plenty of value to back the Giants as home favorites.
MLB Parlay for July 12, 2022
The "Don't Call it a Comeback" Parlay (+565)
- Braves (-185) vs Mets
- Dodgers (-152) vs Cardinals
- Padres (-131) vs Rockies
- Giants (-210) vs Diamondbacks
I do indeed believe we'll be throwing a parade by the end of this one. Tuesdays are for comebacks and we're comin' out swinging today!
We've got four huge pitching mismatches and I look forward to picking up my winnings from WynnBET. Be sure to check out the BetSided previews to add your own spin to the parlay, but don't forget to bet wisely.
Best of luck gang, let's get after it!
Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.