Best MLB Parlay Picks Today (Two Totals and Two Favorites Ready to Rain Dollars)

Edward Cabrera hasn't allowed a run in four consecutive starts
Edward Cabrera hasn't allowed a run in four consecutive starts / Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports

I was hoping to get a golf round in today, but it's suddenly pouring rain so I think I'll just have to watch all these parlay picks cash instead. It's a fair compromise, though I do hope the rain lets up.

We're rapidly approaching the final month of MLB's regular season and there's a loaded slate with tons of important games as a result. Be sure to check out the BetSided previews for each key matchup, though I've identified a few jumping out, desperate to be part of the next great parlay.

Rain or shine, we've got dollars to make. Using odds from WynnBET Sportsbook, here are my favorite MLB parlay picks of the day:

Best MLB Parlay Picks Today

Dodgers vs Marlins First Five Innings Under 3.5 (-110)

I can't miss an opportunity to back Edward Cabrera, who hasn't allowed a single run in his last four starts. He was masterful against Oakland last week, throwing eight shutout innings while surrendering just two hits. The Los Angeles Dodgers' lineup is dangerous, but Cabrera is a rocket ship destined for stardom.

Being MLB's only qualified pitcher with a 0.00 ERA this month is good, right? Yes, it's very good in fact.

I can't ignore how dominant Julio Urias is right now either, and you'll see his name on the above list at 0.75. He's allowed two or fewer runs in seven consecutive starts. I've got no faith in the Miami Marlins' punch-less lineup to generate runs, so I'll back the first five innings under in a stellar pitcher's duel.

Reds First Five Innings (-125) vs Nationals

Rejoice everyone, for it's Patrick Corbin day! The Washington Nationals' miserable starter is somehow getting worse as the season goes on, amassing an 0-3 record and 8.82 ERA this month. He's had five consecutive starts with an expected FIP above 4.01, including two above 14.21 somehow in that stretch. Just look at Corbin's MLB Statcast Pitching Profile:

The guy is atrocious. It's no wonder the Nationals have nine consecutive losses behind him. I've been impressed overall with Nick Lodolo of late and think he can keep Washington's bats at bay while the Cincinnati Reds pour it on early.

I don't trust Cincy's bullpen whatsoever, so we'll stick to the first five innings to take advantage of Corbin's ineptitude.

Padres vs Royals Over 9.0 (-135)

Neither starting pitcher can be trusted in this game, and there's a metric boat-load of trends pointing us to the over. Sean Manaea has a 6.75 ERA in August for the San Diego Padres, surrendering at least one home run in each of his last three starts. The over is 13-5-2 in his last 20 outings and I expect another high-scoring affair today.

Manaea is only half the equation though, and the other half is much worse. Jonathan Heasley has a 5.45 ERA at home, and his MLB Statcast Pitching Profile is even worse than Corbin's:

The over is 6-1 in Heasley's last seven starts, and Kansas City's horrific bullpen won't be able to slow the Padres down if he struggles. In the Royals' last 10 games as home underdogs, the over is 8-2. Expect those trends to improve as each lineup takes advantage of mediocre pitching.

White Sox (-185) vs Diamondbacks

Dylan Cease gives the Chicago White Sox a significant advantage over Zach Davies and the Arizona Diamondbacks, and I love Chicago's chances today. Look at Davies' expected FIP from his last seven starts:

  • 8/23 @ KCR: 5.90
  • 8/17 @ SFG: 3.68
  • 8/12 @ COL: 4.40
  • 8/07 vs COL: 4.88
  • 8/01 @ CLE: 7.32
  • 6/25 vs DET: 5.27
  • 6/20 @ SDP: 5.82

Marco Gonzales has MLB's worst expected FIP this season at 4.88. Davies is consistently pitching much worse than baseball's worst starter, so this is a perfect game for the White Sox lineup to do some damage.

Chicago had five straight wins on the run line as home favorites before dropping yesterday's game, and the White Sox should bounce back behind Dylan Cease.

MLB Parlay for August 28, 2022

The "Rain or Shine" Parlay (+822)

  • Dodgers vs Marlins First Five Innings Under 3.5 (-110)
  • Reds First Five Innings (-125) vs Nationals
  • Padres vs Royals Over 9.0 (-135)
  • White Sox (-185) vs Diamondbacks

Bang, bang! There we have it! Odds of +822 pay out $205.38 on a $25 bet, and the weather forecast looks like it'll be raining dollars all day.

We've got tremendous value in each matchup, and I'm excited to both back strong pitchers and fade bad ones.

Best of luck as always - let's get after it!

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.