Best Monday Night Football Prop Bets for Bills vs. Titans

Can Josh Allen go over his rushing total in Monday's game against the Titans? Those props and more are explored below.
Can Josh Allen go over his rushing total in Monday's game against the Titans? Those props and more are explored below. / Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

This week in the NFL concludes with a great matchup between two teams leading their respective divisions in the AFC. The Tennessee Titans, first in the AFC South will play host to the AFC East-leading Buffalo Bills. The Bills are a -5.5 favorite in this game, but what about some pro bets for this game? 

With a lot of big names on both teams to choose from, this should be a great game all around for prop bettors to make a buck on. With that in mind, let’s dive into the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook and pick some Monday night winners. 

Best Monday Night Football Prop Bets

  • Derrick Henry UNDER 99.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
  • Ryan Tannehill OVER 239.5 yards passing (-115)
  • Josh Allen OVER 32.5 yards rushing (-125)

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Derrick Henry UNDER 99.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

After a shaky start to the season, Henry has been his usual dominant self for the Titans. He leads the NFL in attempts (142), yards (642), and rushing touchdowns (7) and is averaging 145.5 yds per game. So why should you fade against Henry in this game against the Bills? 

First off, Henry has not been himself when playing the Buffalo Bills. In three career games with Buffalo, the usually-dominant back has averaged just 63.7 yards per game on less than four yards per attempt. Leading up to this game, Buffalo ranks first in the NFL in rushing touchdowns allowed (0.2 per game) and third in both rushing yards allowed and rushing attempts allowed. On average, teams are only rushing the ball 21 times per game against the Bills. 

This is important for a number of reasons, one being that if Henry doesn’t see enough work, he won’t have the touches to sniff triple-digits unless he breaks a few runs. In Week 1 against the Arizona Cardinals, Henry had his only game this year where he failed to surpass 96 yards rushing and it was the only game that he rushed the ball less than 25 times. Far less than 25 times in fact, as he finished with just 17 touches on the ground. 

On paper, the Titans have a far superior rushing defense than the Cardinals and have proven able to stop any team’s ground game thus far. I realize that Henry’s game is a step above but without the touches he usually sees, it will be hard for him to reach the yards he usually does. This is a great spot to fade a top talent heading into a disastrous matchup. 

Ryan Tannehill OVER 239.5 yards passing (-115)

WynnBET has Ryan Tannehill’s passing yards total at 240 yards against the Bills and I like his chances here. Not necessarily because I am high on Tannehill but more so because of the Bills rushing defense that I mentioned above. 

The Titans, even with the best running back in football, will have a tough time getting any traction on the ground. The Bills are also favored in this game which suggests the Titans will be playing from behind at least for some of this game.

While the Bills' passing defense is also incredibly good and ranked second in the NFL, I think the Titans will find more success through the air, especially if the game starts to get away from them. Some garbage time work won’t hurt this prediction but I think Tannehill does enough to keep this game competitive and goes over this total on Monday Night. 

Josh Allen OVER 32.5 yards rushing (-125)

For as strong as an arm that Josh Allen has, he’s also a capable runner when things go wrong in the pocket. Allen has rushed for more than this total in all but one game this year along with two rushing touchdowns.

While those are not Michael Vick-like numbers, I think he has a good shot to put in some work on the ground on Monday night. Allen has also seen a lot of work in the red zone rushing attack. He hasn’t crossed the goal line as much as the team would like be he is chipping away yards on each attempt.

A few designed runs and a few well-timed scrambles and I think Allen goes comfortable over this total. The Titans rank in the bottom half of the league in rushing yards allowed and I expect the Bills to exploit this any way they can.