Best NBA Prop Bets Today (Fade James Harden, Trust Dorian Finney-Smith on Thursday Night)

Dallas Mavericks wing Dorian Finney-Smith.
Dallas Mavericks wing Dorian Finney-Smith. / Alex Goodlett/GettyImages
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The BetSided team is all in on player props for this NBA season, sharing our favorite and best prop bet picks each day during the year. 

Best NBA Prop Bets Record to Date

Here are the plays we are eyeing for tonight’s slate with all odds via WynnBET:

Best NBA Prop Bets Today

  • James Harden UNDER 2.5 3-Pointers Made (-130)
  • Jimmy Butler OVER 38.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)
  • Dorian Finney-Smith 3+ 3-Pointers Made (+115)

James Harden UNDER 2.5 3-Pointers Made (-130)

Harden’s under for 3-pointers made was my pick back in Game 5, and once again, the bearded one delivered for me.

Turns out, Harden hit the under on this prop for several bettors throughout the entirety of the postseason; failing to go over 2.5 three’s in nine of his last 10.

Via NBA analyst Tom Haberstroh, Harden’s attempts from downtown in the playoffs fell off a cliff going back through the last four years. In 2022, he’s averaging 6.3 three-point attempts per game in the postseason!

I know he went off in his last game in Philadelphia with six 3-pointers made, but there’s too much of a sample here to go away from it. Plus, Harden in elimination games shoots 23.7% from downtown. This is an easy play. — Ben Heisler

Jimmy Butler OVER 38.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)

I’m going back to the well with this Jimmy Butler prop, as he finished Game 5 with 38 PRA, but was pulled with about nine minutes left due to the blowout win. 

With Kyle Lowry still out, Butler is going to take more control of the playmaking duties for the Heat, and he’s cleared 38.5 points, rebounds and assists in five of his nine playoff games. Butler has also cleared it in three of five games in this series. 

Butler has been the best player on the floor for the majority of this series, and he’s seen a ton of minutes for Miami. I think a closer Game 6 will allow him to go over this number. – Peter Dewey

Dorian Finney-Smith 3+ 3-Pointers Made (+115)

Finney-Smith has been my favorite player to bet on in these playoffs. Outside of a foul-ridden Game 2 against the Suns, he’s been nearly automatic for me. Finney-Smith is shooting 43% from 3 during the playoffs and is getting up seven 3-pointers up a night. 

This game can go two ways. Either the Mavs role players step up at home – which means DFS would have a great game – or the Suns blow this game wide open. Either way, DFS is going to be involved in putting up a lot of shots from deep. At plus money, I’ll back this line easily. – Donnavan Smoot


How is the BetSided team betting the games of the night?

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