Best NBA Prop Bets Today (Fade Luka Doncic, Jaylen Brown With Low Totals in Both Games)

The BetSided team is all in on player props for this NBA season, sharing our favorite and best prop bet picks each day during the year. 

Best NBA Prop Bets Record to Date

• NBA Best Prop Bets Record: 283-236-4 (+12.609 units)

Here are the plays we are eyeing for tonight’s slate with all odds via WynnBET:

Best NBA Prop Bets Today

• Luka Doncic UNDER 53.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-125)
• Jaylen Brown UNDER 24.5 Points (-115)

Luka Doncic UNDER 53.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-125)

Yes, Luka Doncic averages an insane 39.0 points per game in playoff elimination games in his career, but this number is way too high for me to get to on Sunday. 

The total in this game at WynnBET is set at 204.5, which means there are only going to be so many offensive possessions and numbers than Doncic can put up. 

In this series, Doncic has points, rebounds and assists (PRA) numbers of 65, 47, 48, 44, 41 and 52. 

He’s played in nine playoff games this season, and he’s cleared this total just one time. That game? Game 1 against Phoenix where he scored 45 points and took a playoff-high 30 shots. 

It’s possible Doncic does that given his elimination game track record, but he was also facing elimination in Game 6 and had 33 points, 11 rebounds and eight assists (52 PRA). 

Game 7s usually are a slower pace with so much on the line, so I’ll take the under on this juiced number for Doncic tonight. – Peter Dewey

Jaylen Brown UNDER 24.5 Points (-115)

Brown hasn't been ineffective in the series, but there's a long sample since the start of the postseason of him getting close to this prop, just not hitting it on a consistent level.

In fact, Brown has failed to hit this projection in nine of his last 11 games in the playoffs.

He's also hit 50% (7-of-14) from 3-point range in the last two games; something I don't anticipate happening Sunday afternoon.

Via Bet Labs, UNDERS in Game 7s hit at a 61% clip, and a 66% clip when the totals shift down from where they first opened. After opening at 210, Bucks-Celtics has already dropped a full 3.5 points.

Brown has failed to hit this projection in 9 of his last 11 games, and With game total of just 206.5, it's hard to justify backing an over here. -- Ben Heisler