Bucks vs. Celtics Game 7 Prediction and Odds (Bet Under in Game 7)

May 11, 2022; Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Boston Celtics forward Jayson Tatum (0) defends against
May 11, 2022; Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Boston Celtics forward Jayson Tatum (0) defends against / David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports

We have reached the end of one of the epic NBA Playoffs series in recent memories.

The Boston Celtics got 46 points out of Jayson Tatum to force a Game 7 on their home floor against the defending champions Milwaukee Bucks. Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Bucks are in a familiar spot, on the road in a Game 7 in the second round for the second straight season. Who has the betting edge in this marquee matchup?

Here are the odds for the decisive meeting between the Bucks and Celtics from WynnBET Sportsbook:

Bucks vs. Celtics Odds, Spread and Total


  • Bucks: +5 (-110)
  • Celitcs: -5 (-110)


  • Bucks: +180
  • Celtics: -210

Total: 207.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

Bucks vs. Celtics Prediction and Pick

Home court hasn't been all that impactful to date, each team has won a pair of games on the road this series, but it doesn't hurt that the Celtics have home court in the finale, as noted by historical analysis.

While the spread has been around 5 and 5.5 for this entire series in Boston, the margin between the two teams is razor thin and it will likely come down to who gets hot from the perimeter.

The Bucks have had the best player in the series in Antetokounmpo, who is averaging 35 points, 13.8 rebounds and 6.8 assists, but the Celtics have gotten heroic performances from the likes of Jaylen Brown (Game 2), Al Horford (Game 4) and Tatum (Game 6).

Both teams are up to the task of the other, so I'll stay off the spread and look to the total.

Game 7 unders have hit at a 61% clip dating back to 2003 and I have been riding them all series. Each defense is fantastic and this series has been as physical as any in recent memory. Milwaukee has the lowest effective field goal percentage of any team in the second round and has relied on Antetokounmpo to score north of 35 to stay afloat. Meanwhile, Boston has needed to get hot from beyond the arc to get over the hump and force a deciding game.

There aren't any more adjustments for either team to make, we know what we are going to get, and if Boston continues to settle for more 3's (only Memphis took more 3's than Boston this round) due to the size of Milwaukee in the paint, they are playing a dangerous game of shot variance.

I'm banking on some negative regression from Boston after making 17 on the road and a physical, tense Game 7 on the way.

This is going to be a race to 100, if it gets that high.