Best NBA Prop Bets Today (Fade Two Sixers, Back LaMelo Ball on the Glass)

The BetSided team is all in on player props for this NBA season, sharing our favorite and best prop bet picks each day during the year. 

Best NBA Prop Bets Record to Date

• NBA Best Prop Bets Record: 241-191-4 (+21.2079 units)

Here are the plays we are eyeing for tonight’s slate with all odds via WynnBET:

Best NBA Prop Bets Today

• Joel Embiid UNDER 32.5 Points (-125)
• James Harden UNDER 20.5 Points (-115)
• LaMelo Ball OVER 5.5 Rebounds (-130)

Joel Embiid UNDER 32.5 Points (-125)

Joel Embiid scored just 21 points on 6-of-20 shooting in his last game against the Toronto Raptors, and it’s mainly because they have so many lengthy bodies to throw at him in the post.

Now, Embiid gets Toronto on the road on Thursday, and while I think he can have a better game, 32.5 points is a little high for my liking. 

Embiid has failed to clear this line in six of his last 10 games as it is, and I think Nick Nurse and the Raptors have a solid plan of how to defend him. Not only that, but these are two of the slowest paced teams in the NBA, ranking 27th and 26th in the league. 

Less possessions against a good defense is a perfect recipe to take the under. – Peter Dewey

James Harden UNDER 20.5 Points (-115)

I would like to announce the start of the “Fade James Harden Club.” I’m taking the under on this prop because Harden hasn’t been able to consistently get his offense going since he’s gotten to Philadelphia. 

He’s hit the under in four of his last six games and the Raptors defense will push that number up. Harden shot volume is down in the last three games as he’s deferring to Joel Embiid. His 3-point shot hasn’t been great either, so I’ll take the under tonight. – Donnavan Smoot

LaMelo Ball OVER 5.5 Rebounds (-130)

With all the national attention focused on the race for the two-seed in the East, let's dive in on a game with almost implications whatsoever in the playoff race.

LaMelo Ball and the Charlotte Hornets host the Orlando Magic Thursday night. Ball has had a remarkable sophomore campaign; separating himself in points, assists and 3-pointers made.

The rebounding part of his game is still worth discussing, and part of the value on the board tonight. Orlando is amongst the worst in the league in rebound percentage, ranked 23rd at NBA.com, as well as finishing in the bottom 11 of the league in box outs. Charlotte will push pace, giving plenty of chances for offensive rebounds off misses and Orlando looks prepared to let them walk right in and get them.

While he's missed this number in three straight, Ball's average for the season is more than a full rebound above the projected number. The matchup and the positive regression set this up well for tonight. -- Ben Heisler