Best NFL Bets for Week 5 (Road Teams Shine in Week 5 vs. the Spread)

The team cooled off in our NFL "best bets" article last week, going just 1-3 ATS in the four selections and bringing our overall record to 10-7-0 ATS through the first four weeks.

• Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers - WIN
• Pittsburgh Steelers -3 vs. New York Jets - LOSS
• Denver Broncos +2.5 at Las Vegas Raiders - LOSS
• Denver Broncos-Las Vegas Raiders UNDER 45.5 - LOSS

This week, we're sticking with another theme on the board: Road Warriors.

All four of our favorite plays each have advantageous matchups on the road where they're either live to pull off the upset entirely, or perhaps being overlooked to cover an unreasonable number.

Let's dive in with our team's best bets for Week 5 in the NFL.

NFL Best Bets for Week 5

• Falcons +10 at Bucs
• Dolphins +3 at Jets
• Lions +3.5 at Patriots
• Eagles -5.5 at Cardinals

Atlanta Falcons +10 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tampa Bay's offense found a bit of a spark, despite their blowout loss to the Chiefs at home in Week 4, but they still rank 22nd in NFL yards per play; averaging less yards than the New York Giants and 0.1 more than the Houston Texans on a per play basis.

Meanwhile, Atlanta's offense has been excellent; ranking ninth in yards per play (5.9) and also ranking top 6 in yards per carry at 5.1.

This line keeps moving towards Tampa Bay, but this feels like a great spot to underreact and grab the undefeated ATS Falcons at double digits. - Iain MacMillan

Miami Dolphins -3 at New York Jets

I get that trends don't always show the complete story when it comes to betting in the NFL, but 63 games seems like an awfully large sample size to reflect what current Dolphins quarterback Teddy Bridgewater has been able to accomplish.

"Teddy Covers" over his career in the starting role is 42-20-1 vs. the number, while also going 24-6 away from home.

Mike McDaniel's play-calling has been impressive, and he trails only Philadelphia Eagles' head coach Nick Sirianni for NFL Coach of the Year odds. The Jets, meanwhile, are two stunning comebacks from an 0-4 start, and rank 25th in Football Outsiders' Total Team DVOA defense this year.

Miami's ranks second in Team DVOA offense. The line doesn't make sense here and I love the 'Fins. - Ben Heisler

Detroit Lions +3.5 | ML +144 at New England Patriots

I get that the trends say to always back Bill Belichick at home. I get that the Lions' defense is terrible.

But this Detroit offense is something else; ranked No. 1 in points and yards per game, points/yards per play, and touchdowns per game.

If they play to their capabilities for the fifth straight week, do you see Bailey Zappe (or Mac Jones if he plays) putting up 30 points? I certainly don't. There's nothing impressive right now about New England, ranking bottom 10 in both points per game as well as points allowed.

The Lions are also 3-1 ATS this year, losing for the first time against the number all season last week vs. Seattle.

This is my favorite play this week. - Donnavan Smoot

Philadelphia Eagles -5.5 at Arizona Cardinals

I backed Arizona as my best bet last week due to the Cardinals' sterling streak as road underdogs. This week, I'll fade them against a far superior team partially due to their struggles as home underdogs.

The Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as home 'dogs, including failing to cover the spread in three straight by an average of nearly 10 points per contest. It's a tough situational spot for them, especially after a dominant win against Carolina.Simply put, Philadelphia is miles ahead of Arizona.

The Eagles rank fifth in yards per play (5.1) and third in opponent yards per play (4.5), while the Cardinals are 28th (4.8) and 27th (6.1), respectively. To help matters, Philly is 7-3-1 ATS in its last 11 games as a road favorite with three straight covers.

Kyler Murray is one of the few QBs who can rival Jalen Hurts' dual-threat ability, but Murray's supporting cast is dreadful. With AJ Brown, Devonta Smith, Miles Sanders, an elite offensive line, and one of the league's top defenses, Hurts' support gives the Eagles a clear advantage.

Back Philadelphia to continue it's undefeated start, and I'd be interested in alternate lines at plus odds up to -9.5. - Joe Summers

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.