Best NRFI and YRFI Bets Today (Max Fried vs Logan Webb Headline Three Matchups to Target)

Max Fried has allowed a first-inning run just once in his last 11 starts
Max Fried has allowed a first-inning run just once in his last 11 starts / G Fiume/GettyImages
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We've got a light MLB slate today with only nine games, but it's a holiday, the juices are pumpin', and there's still plenty of value to take advantage of on the board.

The BetSided team has everything you need to tackle the day, including previews, a weather report, probable pitchers, and more, so be sure to check out the content before you get your bet slips filled out at WynnBET Sportsbook.

But as you do, I've got a few No Run First Inning (NRFI) and Yes Run First Inning (YRFI) bets to add to your card. Using the odds from WynnBET, let's jump into my favorite NRFI/YRFI bets of the day:

Best NRFI and YRFI Bets Today

Giants vs Braves NRFI (-110)

Max Fried has quietly turned into a dominant NRFI pitcher. He's held his opponent scoreless in the opening frame in 10 of his last 11 starts and his strong play should continue against a Giants' lineup that ranks 23rd in OPS against left-handed pitchers over the last three weeks. San Francisco scores a first-inning run only 23.08% of the time and with how tremendous Fried is pitching, they'll struggle again today.

Atlanta's lineup is much scarier than the Giants', but Logan Webb is up to the task. He's coming off seven shutout innings against the Royals and hasn't allowed a first-inning run in five straight starts. The Braves score a run in the first in only 25% of their games, so despite their potent offense they haven't been great in early on. At -110 odds, I'm thrilled to back two excellent pitchers to stay hot.

Cardinals vs Brewers NRFI (-110)

Hey, if WynnBET is going to give us -110 odds on fantastic pitchers, I'm going to roll with the NRFI all day. Corbin Burnes has given up a first-inning run just twice in 13 outings and though he hasn't quite looked like himself in June, he's still held his opponent scoreless in the first in all three starts. Milwaukee allows a first-inning run in only 14.81% of their home games while the Cardinals score on in a meager 20.59% of their road matchups.

On the other end, Miles Mikolas came within one single batter of throwing a no-hitter last week, allowing a two-out double in the ninth. Mikolas allowed an opponent to score in the first just once in his last 11 starts and the Brewers' lineup has been bad of late, ranking 23rd in OPS over the last three weeks. This is another NRFI bet that I think should be closer to -140, so we're getting fantastic value yet again.

Diamondbacks vs Padres NRFI (-120)

Of all the value on the board, this may be my favorite bet. I love the NRFI here for the same reasons I love the under in the game: Zach Davies and Yu Darvish are pitching the best they have all year and neither lineup scares me.

Davies has a 1.31 ERA in June and has displayed tremendous command. He's held his opponent scoreless in 21 of his last 22 innings and hasn't allowed a first-inning run in four straight games. The Padres are 28th in OPS in the first inning this year and just lost their best hitter, Manny Machado, to injury.

The Diamondbacks are just ahead of San Diego, ranking 27th in OPS in the first. They're 27th in OPS against right-handed pitchers over the last three weeks as well and should struggle against Darvish, whose 1.35 ERA at home underscores how dominant he is at PETCO Park. He's held his opponent scoreless in the opening frame in seven straight games overall and in every single home start. Trust both pitcher to keep the zero's coming tonight.


Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.