Best Prop Bets and NRFI/YRFI Prediction for Astros vs. Phillies in World Series Game 5

Philadelphia Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto.
Philadelphia Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto. / Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

The Houston Astros pulled off the first combined no-hitter in World Series history in Game 4 on Wednesday night to even the series at two games apiece. 

The Philadelphia Phillies have one last chance to win at home in Game 5, and they’ll likely go with a bullpen game with Noah Syndergaard making the start. Astros ace Justin Verlander gets the ball in this matchup for Houston. 

BetSided’s Reed Wallach gave his prediction for this game, but you can also wager on plenty of prop bets in this critical Game 5. 

Here are three I’m considering, including a prediction for the first inning: 

Best NRFI/YRFI Bets Today

Yes Run First Inning

I’m not going to overreact to last night’s no-hitter, and I’m expecting the offenses to bounce back in Game 5. 

Verlander held Philly scoreless in the first inning in Game 1, and Syndergaard has actually been solid this postseason, allowing just one run across 5.2 innings, but Syndergaard’s season long numbers are extremely concerning. 

He allowed 16 runs in the first inning this season (6.08 ERA). Verlander wasn’t great in Game 1 either, so it’s possible Philly rides some of that momentum into this start. Someone is getting the party started early in this game. 

Astros vs. Phillies Best Prop Bets for World Series Game 5

  • J.T. Realmuto to Record a Hit
  • Jeremy Peña to Hit a Home Run

J.T. Realmuto to Record a Hit

I’m willing to lay the -185 juice on Realmuto tonight, after he failed to record a hit in each of his last two games. 

The Phillies catcher had three hits in the first two games of this series, and he’s been one of their better hitters in the playoffs. If Verlander doesn't have his best stuff again, I think Realmuto is able to get on the board against him. 

Jeremy Peña to Hit a Home Run

You could take anyone on Houston to homer tonight against Syndergaard, and I wouldn’t bat an eye. 

Syndergaard will likely work as an opener in this game, but Philly’s bullpen leaves a lot to be desired as well compared to Houston’s. This season, Thor had a 3.94 ERA, allowing 14 homers in 25 games. He’s allowed one homer in 5.1 postseason innings this season. 

There is too much value on Peña, the ALCS MVP, to go yard here. Kyle Tucker (+500) and Yordan Alvarez (+320) are also solid picks, but 10/1 on Pena, who hit 22 homers in the regular season and three already this postseason is crazy. 

The rookie has his World Series moment in Game 5.

Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.