Bet This Aaron Rodgers Prop vs. Steelers

Sep 26, 2021; Santa Clara, California, USA; Green Bay Packers running back Aaron Jones (33) is
Sep 26, 2021; Santa Clara, California, USA; Green Bay Packers running back Aaron Jones (33) is / Darren Yamashita-USA TODAY Sports
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The Green Bay Packers look to make it three straight wins against the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday, who are quickly against the wall in a competitive AFC North.

The Steelers are losers of two straight and will have their hands full with Aaron Rodgers on Sunday. 

Let’s break down the prop market for Rodgers at WynnBET Sportsbook against the typically stout Steelers defense.

Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards: 253.5 (Over -120/Under -110)

Aaron Rodgers Passing Touchdowns: 1.5 (Over -220/Under +170)

While Rodgers has looked fantastic the past two weeks, I expect the Steelers to make this game into a slugfest and keep it low scoring. 

Pittsburgh knows that they can’t keep up with the Green Bay offense anymore given the state of Ben Roethlisberger, but they can find success on the ground with rookie running back Najee Harris on the ground against Green Bay’s seventh worst defensive rushing success rate. 

So, what does this mean for Rodgers? Well, I’m counting on less possessions than usual, and also a sloppy track. Rain is in the forecast for most of the weekend in Green Bay, 60% chance as of now. With poor weather, this may be a ground first attack on both sides which can keep No. 12 stats down.

With variance around the goal line and a trustworthy running back in Aaron Jones -- he has a pair of touchdowns already this season -- the price on Rodgers to toss two touchdowns is way too high in a game with a low total of 45.5.

I’ll be playing under 1.5 passing touchdowns for Rodgers at +170.


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