Betsided

Bills vs Chiefs Updated Prediction and Odds (What Bettors Need to Know)

By Matt De Saro

The Buffalo Bills are heading into the Divisional Round off a blowout win and in a good spot for an upset of the defending AFC champion Chiefs.
The Buffalo Bills are heading into the Divisional Round off a blowout win and in a good spot for an upset of the defending AFC champion Chiefs. / JAMIE GERMANO/ROCHESTER DEMOCRAT AND
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In what is my most anticipated game of the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs, the No. 2 seeded Kansas City Chiefs will host the No. 3 seeded Buffalo Bills. First off, this is a rematch of the AFC Title Game that we got to enjoy last season. That game ended in a 38-24 victory for the Chiefs and you best believe the Bills want some sweet sweet revenge after that stumbling at the finish line. 

As our Managing Editor, Ben Heisler, already covered, the odds for this game continue to move in favor of the Bills heading towards kickoff. Here are the updated odds, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.

Bills vs. Chiefs Updated Odds, Spread, and Total

Spread:

  • Bills: +1.5 (-110)
  • Chiefs: -1.5 (-110)

Moneyline:

  • Bills: +110
  • Chiefs: -130

Total:

  • 53.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

Bills vs. Chiefs Betting Trends

  • The Bills 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games. 
  • The OVER is 4-2 in the Bills’ last six games. 
  • The Bills are 5-0 SU in their last five games. 
  • The Bills are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against the Chiefs
  • The OVER is 5-2 in the Bills’ last seven road games. 
  • The Chiefs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games. 
  • The OVER is 6-0 in the Chiefs’ last six games. 
  • The UNDER is 12-6 in the last 18 games between these two teams. 
  • The Chiefs are 7-1 SU in their last eight games against the AFC

Bills vs. Chiefs Prediction and Pick

The Bills are coming off one of the more impressive performances in the playoffs after beating the New England Patriots 47-17 in the Wild Card round. Josh Allen set a franchise record throwing five touchdowns in a playoff game. Devin Singletary went off for two touchdowns in the first half. 

Buffalo will also have the confidence knowing that they have already marched into Arrowhead once this season and beat the Chiefs. Josh Allen had one of his best games of the year in that win, throwing for 315 yards and three touchdowns. The Chiefs were blanked by him and these KC defense hasn’t gotten that much better over the last few months. While the team overall looks much better, they are still in danger of getting blown up by the Bills. Remember, the Patriots had one of the best defenses in the league and got smoked by the Bills last weekend. 

The Bills’ strength isn’t even their offense. Their defense is elite and can cause a whole mess of problems for Mahomes again. They have proven that they can dominate elite AFC teams including this very KC team. 

I think that when they are clicking the Bills are the best team in the NFL. And they are clicking on both sides of the ball if the NE game is any indication. If they play the way they did last week, and in their last game against the Chiefs, I think they walk away with another upset win and punch their ticket to the AFC Title Game.

Pick: Buffalo Bills +110 to win

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