What's Behind the Odds Move Towards Buffalo in Bills vs. Chiefs?

Nobody circles the wagons like the Buffalo Bills, but professional bettors appear to have the Bills circled as a top bet for the Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs.

After opening as 2-point underdogs on the road against the Chiefs in Kansas City, WynnBET Sportsbook moved them almost immediately up to Bills +2.5 with some early Chiefs money coming in.

Now, not only has WynnBET moved the line a full point in the opposite direction, but the consensus line across multiple sportsbooks have the Bills as just 1.5-point underdogs heading into the final Divisional Round playoff game of the weekend.

What's behind the latest line move? According to the oddsmakers over at WynnBET, it's more of a position play rather than any heavy money coming in.

"We're just taking a position early in the week. We want to see what action we can generate by leaning on the dog early in the week."

Should Bettors Follow the Move to the Bills, or Jump on the Chiefs?

While I'm more likely to lean on the UNDER 55 over at WynnBET (and would advise others backing the under to wait until closer to kickoff as more public money backs the over), this does feel like an ideal time to grab Kansas City at the most favorable odds likely offered.

According to ESPN gambling writer David Purdum, if the number for Bills-Chiefs closes at Kansas City -2 or lower, that would be the lowest point spread ever at home with Patrick Mahomes as the starting quarterback; including the postseason.

Mahomes in those 37 games, by the way, is 30-7 straight up, but just 19-17-1 against the spread. Based on that trend, a moneyline (team must win straight up regardless of the spread) Chiefs bet at -125 odds (bet $125 to win $100) would offer a much higher correlation to the bet cashing.

Want the BetSided team's favorite early leans for the NFL Divisional Round? We shared them on our latest "Best Bets" video on our YouTube channel.

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