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Blue Jays vs. Yankees Prediction and Odds for Thursday, April 14 (Back The Over In AL East Battle)

By Peter Dewey

Toronto Blue Jays starter Kevin Gausman.
Toronto Blue Jays starter Kevin Gausman. / Cole Burston/GettyImages
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The Toronto Blue Jays are looking to take three of four games against the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on Thursday. 

Toronto will send offseason acquisition Kevin Gausman to the mound against Luis Severino. Both starters were far from lights out in their season debuts, but this is a chance for one of them to flip the script early on. 

When looking at this matchup at Baseball Savant, it jumps out to me that both starters have a hard hit percentage of over 52 percent, with Gausman coming in at 52.9% and Severino even worse at 55.6%. 

Vlad Guerrero Jr. and the Blue Jays lineup teed off on Gerrit Cole and Chad Green last night, but can they do it again? 

Let’s get into the odds for this game via WynnBET:  

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line and Total

Rune Line:

  • Blue Jays: +1.5 (-190)
  • Yankees: -1.5 (+155)

Moneyline:

  • Blue Jays: +112
  • Yankees: -122

Total: 

  • 8.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Prediction and Pick

Even though this is a good pitching matchup on namesake alone, I lean to the OVER in this matchup between two of the better offenses in baseball. 

The Yankees and Blue Jays are both top 10 in baseball in OPS, and they are No. 1 and No. 2 in the league in home runs so far this season. These two teams combined for 10 runs on Wednesday with their two best pitchers on the mound, so I don’t see much changing in this matchup. 

Not only that, but the Yankees’ bullpen is getting taxed early in the season with extra inning games and limiting pitch counts on starters, and Severino is no exception to the pitch count rule. 

Since he is coming off multiple seasons missed due to injury, I expect New York to be extra careful with how it eases him into this season. 

I’ll take the OVER with no real lean on a side in this one. 

Lean: OVER 8.5 (-110)

Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record in MLB this season here.

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