Boise State vs. San Diego State Prediction and Odds (Back Aztecs at Home)

Jan 8, 2022; San Diego, California, USA; San Diego State Aztecs forward Chad Baker (20) celebrates
Jan 8, 2022; San Diego, California, USA; San Diego State Aztecs forward Chad Baker (20) celebrates / Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports
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San Diego State plays their first game in two weeks against the surging Boise State Broncos, who have won 11 straight as they emerge as Mountain West contenders.

However, this is a brutal scheduling spot for Boise, who are coming in on short rest after playing a tight game with Utah State on the road on Thursday.

Who has the edge in this marquee MWC matchup? Here are the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook.

Boise State vs. San Diego State Odds, Spread and Total

Spread:

  • Boise State: +4.5 (-110)
  • San Diego State: -4.5 (-110)

Moneyline:

  • Boise State: +155
  • San Diego State: -185

Total: 122 (Over -115/Under -105)

Boise State vs. San Diego State Prediction and Pick

It's tough to find a reason to back Boise State, who are playing their 5th game in 11 nights against a well rested San Diego State team.

The Aztecs are a top 10 in defensive efficiency, allowing the third lowest effective field goal percentage in the nation. They play a disciplined brand of defense that is relentless on that side. They yield the seventh longest average defensive possession length and should keep a lid on a middling Boise State offense that is bottom half of the country in eFG%.

San Diego State has reportedly had a full roster during this two week pause, and have been preparing for this matchup in a game with massive MWC regular season implications. The Broncos have been playing a ton and just went down to the wire against Utah State at altitude, I can't back them in this spot.

SDSU has won their last five against Boise, if that helps.

However, with a game that has such a low total, I'm not interested in laying points, but will use the Aztecs as a parlay piece, which I mentioned in my best bets column.

PICK: San Diego State ML in a parlay