Braves-Phillies, White Sox-Rockies, Giants-Diamondbacks Set Up Best for MLB Over Bets Wednesday
By Ben Heisler
If I told you there was a metric that determined several ballparks' factors that indicates runs going up by 10-15%, all without the total odds adjusting, is that something you might be interested in?
If so, you've come to the right place!
Nine games are on Major League Baseball's afternoon slate of action, and three of them are expected to see a run increase above 10%.
Via BallParkPal's Daily Stadium Report, Coors Field in Denver, Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, and Chase Field in Arizona all project for a major increase in runs due to the weather conditions on Wednesday.
For the Chicago White Sox and Colorado Rockies' matchup at Coors, BallParkPal projects a sizable increase in runs (15%), home runs (15%), and extra base hits (14%), relative to their typical average; citing hot weather in the mid-90's this afternoon.
In Philadelphia, both the wind blowing out to right-center field, along with the temperatures in the mid-to-upper 80's and 50-plus percent humidity is likely to lead to a major home run increase by 24-27%, as well as a 10-12% increased run projection. Bottom line, expect plenty of dingers this afternoon when the Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies play their rubber match of their three-game series.
Lastly, Chase Field in Phoenix is almost assuredly playing with the roof closed this afternoon due to the temperatures reaching the mid-90s by first pitch. BallParkPal projects a 10% uptick in runs, as well as a +20% move for extra-base hits between the San Francisco Giants and Arizona Diamondbacks.
Here are the respective odds and totals on the board at WynnBET Sportsbook for each of the three games, along with BetSided's betting previews for every matchup:
Braves vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line and Total
Run Line:
- Braves -1.5 (+115)
- Phillies +1.5 (-140)
Moneyline:
- Braves: -140
- Phillies: +130
Total:
- 8.5 (Over -135/Under +105)
White Sox vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line and Total
Run line:
- White Sox -1.5 (+105)
- Rockies +1.5 (-125)
Moneyline:
- White Sox -132
- Rockies +122
Total:
- 11.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
Giants vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line and Total
Run Line:
- Giants -1.5 (+140)
- Diamondbacks +1.5 (-170)
Moneyline:
- Giants: -149
- Diamondbacks: +127
Total:
- 8 (Over -105/Under -115)
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