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Buy Low on Bills' Super Bowl Odds Now Before It's Too Late

By Iain MacMillan

Nov 13, 2022; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Buffalo Bills center Mitch Morse (60) against the
Nov 13, 2022; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Buffalo Bills center Mitch Morse (60) against the / Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports
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The Buffalo Bills have lost two-straight games and have fallen to third place in the AFC East.

Is it time to push the panic button? Absolutely not.

In fact, now is a good time to invest in their Super Bowl odds. This might be the last time this NFL season that we can "buy low" on the Bills. Let's take a look at their latest odds to win the Super Bowl.

Buffalo Bills Super Bowl Odds

The Bills are still the Super Bowl favorites at +400, but their odds are the longest they've been at all season. I don't think you'll get a better price on them as the season progresses.

As I pointed out in my net yards per play report this week, the Bills are still the best team in the NFL from a statistical standpoint. They lead the league in net yards per play, which is yards gained per play on offense, subtracted by the amount of yards given up per play on defense.

They also still lead the NFL in average scoring margin at +11, which is 2.2 points better than the next best team (Eagles at +8.8).

If there's one area that should be a cause for concern for the Bills, it's their ability to stop the run. They started the season off strong in that metric, but they've allowed 5.9 yards per carry over their last three games, which is the worst mark in the NFL over that stretch.

Injuries certainly haven't helped them in that department, most notably missing strong safety, Jordan Poyer. Latest reports are that he is improving, and will be back within the next couple of weeks. Once he, and others on defense, get healthy, I have faith that unit will become the intimidating force it was at the start of the season.

With all that being said, you shouldn't shy away from betting on the Bills. Every eventual Super Bowl champion goes through a rough stretch in the regular season, and that may be exactly what's going on in Buffalo.

The Bills are 9.5-point favorites against the Cleveland Browns in Week 11.

You can track Iain's bets on Betstamp here.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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