College Football Wagering Trends to Know for Week 7
By Reed Wallach
College football has been fun this season, but now it's time for the serious games.
We have three undefeated matchups in Week 7, the second time in college football history, setting up a seismic week across the national landscape as we look to figure out conference title races and more importantly College Football Playoff races.
Here are some trends you need to know before finalizing your Week 7 betting card:
Looking for college football bets? Check out The Early Reed from Tuesday:
Utah's Home Field Advantage
Rice-Eccles Stadium is a house of horrors for teams that travel to face Utah. Since Kyle Whittingham took over as head coach for the Utes in 2015, the team has been money at home, cashing at a nearly 54% clip.
Utah is 55-44-3 against the spread (ATS) at home under Whittingham and it's even better when the Utes are off of a loss. Utah is 23-13 ATS under that filter, which is the situation they are in this Saturday against USC on Saturday, following a loss at UCLA last week.
Matt Campbell's Preferred Situation at Texas
It's been a lackluster season for Matt Campbell's group in Ames. To be fair, the team is going through a youth movement and are starting a redshirt freshman quarterback in Hunter Dekkers.
The team is 3-3 on the year and 0-3 in Big 12 play, coming off of a back-to-back heartbreaking losses at Kansas (missed three field goals) and Kansas State (lost 10-9). Now, the team heads to Austin, Texas to take on Longhorns team that just throttled their rival Oklahoma 49-0 in one of the most recognizable games of the season.
However, there's merit to backing Campbell, who is a great bet as an underdog against the spread. He is 21-14 ATS as an underdog in Ames, and that number is even better when they are a considerable underdog. As an underdog of a touchdown or more, the Cyclones improve to 12-3 ATS under Campbell.
James Franklin as an Underdog, Jim Harbaugh as a Favorite
Penn State head coach James Franklin has been in Happy Valley since 2014, but this has not been a great spot for him in a situation where he has to face a quality opponent. As an underdog against ranked opponents, Franklin is 12-14 ATS. Not a terrible mark, but there is no edge to backing the Nittany Lions despite the No. 10 ranking next to their name.
Meanwhile, it could be tough sledding for PSU when they head to Ann Arbor, given Jim Harbaugh's success in this spot since returning to the school he once played quarterback at in 2015. The Wolverines are 8-5 ATS at home against ranked foes in the Big House and 5-2 when that spread is a field goal or greater.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.