College Basketball Best Bets Today, February 1st
By Reed Wallach
The heater from this past weekend continued into Monday with a 3-0 start to the week. As we enter February, the conference games heat up and we are treated to some high level basketball. The NCAA Tournament is right around the corner and we are looking to see who the best of the best is around the country, but also make some money in the process.
Pretty loaded slate on Tuesday and I have three plays for the best bets column, two underdogs and a two team parlay. We'll see if the market generates more wagers, which you can find in real time here.
Onto the bets.
Odds courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook
Column Record: 38-37-3 (-1.53 Units)
Parlay: Auburn/Northwestern (+101)
We'll start with a massive SEC game between Alabama and Auburn. The No. 1 ranked Tigers won at Alabama in mid-January despite only getting 13 minutes from 7'1" big man Walker Kessler, and I see them as the far better side at home.
Auburn's offense is electric around potential No. 1 pick Jabari Smith and I don't trust the Crimson Tide to hold the likes of him and Kessler off the glass or to match the home team's three-point shooting.
Bama is an up-and-down team that has wins over Baylor, Gonzaga and Houston but also losses to Georgia and Missouri. The spread has come down a point-and-a-half into a range where I may bet Auburn to cover, but for now I'll stick with them just winning outright.
Meanwhile, in Evanston, this feels like the perfect time for the Wildcats to snap a four game skid. ShotQuality believes this 9-10 team profiles more like a 12-7 roster and get a sputtering Rutgers team that needed to come back late to beat the worst team in the Big Ten Nebraska over the weekend.
The Wildcats have the offensive edge and will be able to turnover the Scarlett Knights (second best turnover rate in Big Ten play) and I believe they get right after losing several tight games to the Big Ten elite.
PICK: Auburn/Northwestern ML Parlay (+101)
Davidson (+3) vs. St. Bonaventure
I find myself fading the Bonnies often this season to some success, but I believe that this team is still being looked at as the reigning Atlantic 10 champs from last season and not a much more average version this season.
You can read more about my bet in the full game guide here, but in short, based on the two team's offensive profiles, I believe this game is set to go down to the wire. Both teams play at a methodical pace, outside the top 200 in average possession length, but Davidson has the far superior shot making, placing inside the top five in effective field goal percentage.
St. Bonaventure is not a team that generates a ton of turnovers or play with pace, something that gives the Wildcats issues (see: Virginia Commonwealth), so I'll take the better team to stay within a possession on the road against an overvalued foe.
PICK: Davidson +3, play to +2.5
Texas A&M (+11) vs. Tennessee
Texas A&M has been a strong bet as an underdog in SEC play, covering their last three against elite competition, but we are getting an inflated number after the team was blown out at home against South Carolina as seven point favorites.
Now, back in a familiar spot as an underdog, they should be able to stay close against a Tennessee team that has been prone to struggle on offense.
While the team is 11-0 at home this season, Texas A&M should be able to generate enough turnovers and get some easy buckets in transition to make this game more of a rock fight and keep it within single digits.
For more information on this game, check out my game preview.
PICK: Texas A&M +11, play to +10