College Football Week 3 Underdogs - Reed's Round Robin Plays

Let’s have some fun here. College football is full of volatility, and there are edges to be found in the with undervalued teams to not just cover, but win outright.

These are lottery tickets, put up a little bit with a massive pay out. This is not a back the trucks up type of play, this is a fun way to get in on some of the craziness that is college football and hope it’s your Saturday picking some dogs.

I typically like to find four or five underdogs and put a mid-sized favorite in there as well to help get a net positive. This week the list isn't as long, but a few are catching my eye and two should get us into the money, especially as we look further down the board.

All odds courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook. 

Duke (+115) vs. Northwestern 

Why is Northwestern favored in this game? The Wildcats are nowhere near the same team that went to the Big Ten Championship last season, and I see an edge on the ground for the Blue Devils at home. 

Matteo Durant (29 carries, 255 rushing yards in the opener) is a bonafide stud in the backfield, and we saw Northwestern get torched by Michigan State running back Kenneth Walker in Week 1. 

I’ll take the Dukies as a small underdog. 

Memphis (+145) vs. Mississippi State

Memphis, like always, can score, and I’m excited to fade a Mississippi State team that is ripe for an upset. 

Mike Leach’s team escaped at home in Week 1 against Louisiana Tech after trailing 31-14 through three quarters, and then won a bizarre game against North Carolina State that comes off as fraudulent to me. 

MSU won the turnover margin 3-0, one of which was in the end zone, and took the opening kickoff to the house. 

I think Memphis can score more efficiently than the Mississippi State air raid. The Tigers are top 20 in explosive pass defense, but need their pass rush to get going considering they are yet to get a sack. 

With that being said, I think this game is closer to a pick. Not to mention, Mississippi State might be looking ahead to LSU next week in conference play in addition for some poor luck heading their way.

Utah State (+260) vs. Air Force

Utah State is one of the most undervalued team’s in the country. With first year head coach Blake Anderson and his quarterback, transfer Logan Bonner, both coming from Arkansas State, the Aggies offense has been rejuvenated. The team knocked off Washington State on the road in their first game, and they are overlooked here getting nine points.

They will travel to face the Air Force triple option that hasn’t been tested by a quality opponent just yet. Air Force overwhelmed fellow service academy Navy and FCS opponent Lafayette. 

I think Bonner can test the Air Force secondary and jump out in front early and make the home team play from behind, a tough ask with them so dependent on the run. The USU defense will need to limit the big runs on this AFA triple option, which has been vulnerable thus far.

All in all, I still think the market is playing catch up on Utah State, so let’s take a shot. 

Vanderbilt (+350) vs. Stanford 

I, like many, were shocked when Stanford won outright as 17.5-point underdogs against USC last weekend, but now they are overvalued traveling to Vanderbilt. 

Vandy has been in the basement of college football for years now, but may have turned a corner in a come from behind win against Colorado State last weekend, erasing a two touchdown deficit to win 24-21.

Now, they have a night game at home against a Stanford team that may be thinking about a surprise PAC-12 run with UCLA on deck. 

Remember, this is a Stanford team that got rolled in Week 1 by Kansas State, 24-7, all games are equal and I think the market is forgetting just how bad Stanford looked in Week 1, and only focused on the Week 2 shocker.

This is way too much value to pass up on a home underdog.

Penn State (-200) vs. Auburn

Here’s my writeup from earlier on the week on why I like Penn State in the ‘White Out.’

I'm expecting Penn State to win and cover, and hoping this can aid the payout of two or three of the aforementioned underdogs getting to the window.

Just missed the cut: Charlotte +165, Arkansas State +580 Arizona State -185 

Have an edge you want to bet? Download the WynnBET app and make your pick today.