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Daily Dinger: Best Home Run Picks for Tuesday, June 21 (Target Mets in Houston, Hitter Weather in Minnesota)

By Ben Heisler, Donnavan Smoot, Peter Dewey, Reed Wallach

Byron Buxton and the Twins have great hitting weather in Minneapolis tonight against a struggling pitcher in Cleveland SP Aaron Civale.
Byron Buxton and the Twins have great hitting weather in Minneapolis tonight against a struggling pitcher in Cleveland SP Aaron Civale. / Norm Hall/GettyImages
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It was another tough Monday for us in "Daily Dinger" predictions as the team went 0-4 to kick off the week.

Tuesday has been a profitable day for us over the course of the year with every team in action this evening. For today's top home run prop bets, we're targeting two batters in the Guardians vs. Twins game in Minneapolis, as well as two members of the New York Mets on the road in Houston against struggling pitcher Jose Urquidy.

Here are our top MLB home run prop bets for Tuesday, June 21, withodds available at WynnBET Sportsbook or via consensus.

Best Home Run Picks Today

  • Byron Buxton (+300)
  • Josh Naylor (+380)
  • Starling Marte (+550)
  • Francisco Lindor (+395) - available at WynnBET

Byron Buxton - Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians

The wind is blowing out in Minnesota on Tuesday, and I think that means we will see a few long balls at Target Field before this one is all said and done. I like Twins slugger Byron Buxton (19 homers this season) to go yard against Cleveland starter Aaron Civale, who has allowed six homers in seven starts and comes into this game with a 7.84 ERA.

Buxton has three hits and two home runs off of Civale in 10 career at bats, so this is clearly a matchup he likes as well. -- Peter Dewey

Josh Naylor (+380) - Cleveland Guardians at Minnesota Twins

Naylor gets the slight edge for me over AL MVP candidate Jose Ramirez.

The sturdy left-handed power outfielder has destroyed right-handed pitching this year, hitting six of his seven home runs vs. right-handers with a .267 isolated power (ISO) and .406 weighted on-base average (wOBA.) Twins SP Joe Ryan has been very solid, but he did come off a rough outing to Seattle; allowing two homers in just 4.2 innings.

Especially with wind gusts anywhere between 17-20 mph straight out to center field, I'll trust Naylor's big bat and heavy power to get it done. -- Ben Heisler

Starling Marte (+640) - New York Mets at Houston Astros

If there’s one thing I can count on, it’s Jose Urquidy giving up a home run. He’s allowed a homer in 10 of his 12 starts and at least one in his last six.

The Mets have one of the best lineups in the majors and will be sure to take advantage of Urquidy’s mistakes. Marte has hit a majority of his homers against right-handed pitchers this year, and has hit three of them in the last month.

It’s been over a week since he went yard, but Marte has a chance to capitalize on Urquidy’s consistent mishaps. -- Donnavan Smoot

Francisco Lindor (+400) - New York Mets at Houston Astros

Lindor does most of his damage against right handed pitchers, 72% of his homers come against righties, and he gets a struggling pitcher in Jose Urquidy, who has an ERA nearing 5.00 this season.

Lindor crushed a homer over the weekend and in a marquee matchup against the Astros, I'll back him to hit one out of hitter-friendly Minute Maid Park. -- Reed Wallach

Don't forget, you can always follow along with our daily standings in the BetSided "Daily Dinger" game HERE.

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