Delaware vs. UNC Wilmington Prediction and Odds for CAA Championship Game (Stick with Seahawks As Underdog)
By Joe Summers
A ticket to the NCAA Tournament will be stamped today in the CAA Championship game as the 21-12 #5 seed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens take on the 23-8 #2 UNC Wilmington Seahawks tonight at 7:00 PM EST.
Delaware beat Drexel and Towson on their way to the final round while the Seahawks bested Elon and Charleston.
UNC Wilmington notched two upset wins over the Fightin' Blue Hens this year and have won three straight outright as an underdog, but Delaware was impressive in their dismantling of #1 seed Towson last night.
One team will celebrate wildly today and another will be stuck wondering what could have been - who does the value lie with as we inch closer to the postseason?
Let's take a gander at the odds via WynnBET to find out who deserves our dollars:
Delaware vs UNC Wilmington Odds, Spread and Total
Spread
- Delaware -2 (-110)
- UNC Wilmington +2 (-110)
Moneyline:
- Delaware: -130
- UNC Wilmington: +110
Total:
- 133.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
Delaware vs UNC Wilmington Prediction and Pick
Woohoo! Tell your family, tell your friends, tell your accountant - we get another day to bet UNC Wilmington as an underdog! We cashed on the best underdog bet in sports yet again yesterday and we're going right back to the well today.
The Seahawks are now 12-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 13 as an underdog and have won 11 of those outright. That's not a typo. UNC Wilmington has eleven wins in their last 13 games as an underdog! That's insane! They've won five straight overall and just as they have all year, they're finding ways to win even in games they're not playing well.
Meanwhile, the Fightin' Blue Hens jumped out to an early lead against Towson and never looked back, controlling the game from start to finish in an extremely inspired performance. However, I do have some concerns ahead of today's matchup.
Delaware's rebounding has been a thorn in its side all year and they allowed Towson to nab 17 offensive rebounds last night. The Tigers just couldn't hit shots, going a pathetic 31% from the field and 17.4% from beyond the arc. Perhaps that was because of Delaware's defensive pressure, but their defense ranks only 208th in adjusted efficiency on the year so I think it's more likely that Towson was simply missing.
It's possible UNC Wilmington has an equally poor shooting performance but I'm willing to bet that won't be the case. Even if it is the case, the Seahawks are in the 92nd percentile in offensive rebounding over their last five games and nabbed a combined 26 offensive boards in their two wins over Delaware. With their rebounding advantage and a 98th-percentile ranking in turnover percentage over their last five, UNC Wilmington will have plenty of opportunities to score.
I love this Seahawks squad with all my heart and will continue backing them until I can't anymore. The Fightin' Blue Hens have covered as a favorite just once in their past four tries and I think UNC Wilmington just has too many advantages. Give me the Seahawks to punch their ticket to the big dance and give us at least one more game to enjoy the spoils of the best underdog bet in sports.
Pick: UMC Wilmington +110
Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.