Every NFL Starting Quarterback’s Predicted Touchdown Total for 2022 Season

The 2022 NFL season is the second year with a 17-game regular season schedule, and it could lead to bettors finding some value in season-long player props, as we still don’t know what a typical 17-game year will yield. 

One of the props that I am especially interested in is the touchdown passing props for each quarterback. A few teams don’t have their quarterback listed due to the starter being unknown, but DraftKings Sportsbook has the prop for over 25 of the league’s signal-callers. 

With several key players switching teams, including quarterbacks Russell Wilson, Carson Wentz, Matt Ryan and Baker Mayfield, there is plenty of intrigue entering the 2022 campaign. 

Here are the latest touchdown prop projections from DraftKings. 

Every Quarterback’s Season-Long Touchdown Passes Prop

• Aaron Rodgers: 31.5 (Over -120/Under +100)
• Baker Mayfield: 22.5 (Over -120/Under +100)
• Carson Wentz: 23.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
• Dak Prescott: 31.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
• Daniel Jones: 21.5 (Over -120/Under +100)
• Davis Mills: 21.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
• Derek Carr: 29.5 (Over -120/Under +100)
• Jalen Hurts: 22.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
• Jameis Winston: 26.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
• Jared Goff: 23.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
• Joe Burrow: 34.5 (Over -120/Under +100)
• Josh Allen: 35.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
• Justin Fields: 18.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
• Justin Herbert: 36.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
• Kirk Cousins: 31.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
• Kyler Murray: 25.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
• Lamar Jackson: 24.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
• Mac Jones: 23.5 (Over -120/Under +100)
• Matt Ryan: 25.5 (Over +100/Under -120)
• Matthew Stafford: 34.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
• Patrick Mahomes: 34.5 (Over -120/Under +100)
• Russell Wilson: 31.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
• Ryan Tannehill: 21.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
• Tom Brady: 35.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
• Trevor Lawrence: 22.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
• Trey Lance: 21.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
• Tua Tagovailoa: 25.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
• Zach Wilson: 22.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

Justin Herbert Predicted to Lead NFL in Passing Touchdowns in 2022

Los Angeles Chargers rising star Justin Herbert is expected to lead the NFL in passing touchdowns with the highest season-long prop at 36.5. 

Josh Allen (35.5) and Tom Brady (35.5) are tied for second on the list. 

It’s hard not to get excited about Herbert, who threw for 31 scores in 15 games as a rookie and 38 scores in 17 games in his second NFL season. With the Chargers improving on defense this offseason, Herbert may not have to play in as many shootouts, but it’s hard to see him taking a step back after such a strong 2021 season.

Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.