Giants vs. Brewers Game 1 Prediction and Odds for Thursday, Sept. 8 (Burnes Bounces Back)

The Milwaukee Brewers have a 4-1 record in Corbin Burnes' last five starts, and they'll need his best effort as they've lost five of seven.

We faded the Brew Crew with success yesterday, but I'm going the opposite way against Jakob Junis and the Giants today.

With Milwaukee sitting 3.5 games outside of the final NL Wild Card spot, can Burnes rebound from a pair of poor starts to give the Brewers a much-needed victory?

Let's take a peak at the latest consensus odds before finding out:

Giants vs Brewers Game 1 Odds, Run Line and Total

Giants vs Brewers Game 1 Prediction and Pick

Milwaukee notched three runs off Jakob Junis in only two innings with five hits back in July. With wins in eight of their last 10 games as home favorites, I like the Brewers' chances to give Junis trouble once again.

The Giants' 29-year-old righty isn't great on the road. He has an expected FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) above 5.03 in three of his last four road starts, while Milwaukee's lineup ranks eighth in OPS against right-handed pitchers over the last three weeks.

San Francisco is ranked 26th over that span and lost 10 of their last 12 matchups as road underdogs, with nine of those losses coming on the run line. I'm happy to trust Burnes' body of work over the course of the season instead of a couple blips the last few weeks, especially against a Giants team that routinely makes average pitchers look, well, like Burnes.

Feel comfortable backing the Brewers in the first game of a critical double-header. They need every win they can get in these last few weeks, so I expect Burnes' best effort as Milwaukee gets a focused win at home.

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.