Historical Betting Trend Suggests Celtics Will Cover vs. Warriors in Game 3

The Boston Celtics did what they needed in the first two games of the NBA Finals, as they stole one of the two matchups in Golden State to take home court advantage over in the series.

Home court advantage is great, but Boston needs to take care of business at home in Games 3 and 4 to really make the Game 1 win count. According to one historical trend, Boston is in a great spot to get off on the right foot in Game 3.

The Celtics also have another trend in their favor, as they have not lost back-to-back games in the playoffs this year. Boston lost Game 2 in blowout fashion, but the team has bounced back better than anyone this postseason.

Here are the latest odds from WynnBET for Game 3.

Warriors vs. Celtics Spread, Moneyline and Total for Game 3

Spread:

• Warriors +3.5 (-108)
• Celtics -3.5 (-108)

Moneyline:

• Warriors: +130
• Celtics: -160

Total:

• 212.5 (Over -108/Under -108)

How Should You Bet Warriors-Celtics Game 3 in NBA Finals?

My initial lean in this game is with Boston, as the Celtics really beat themselves in Game 2 with 18 turnovers.

Boston's role players (Al Horford, Derrick White, Marcus Smart, Grant Williams) have really been the difference in the postseason, and they were fantastic in Game 1. Every Boston player not named Jayson Tatum or Jaylen Brown combined to shoot 30-for-45 from the field in the series opener.

Game 2 was a different story. Horford, Smart, Williams and White combined for just 22 points, hence why Boston struggled during the Warriors' third quarter surge.

As good as Golden State is at making runs, Boston showed in Game 1 that it can not only weather the storm, but making a game-sealing run of its own. I like the Celtics to bounce back at home in Game 3 and move this trend to 5-1-1 ATS.

Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.