How to Bet Joe Mixon Rushing Yard Prop vs. Titans

Cincinnati Bengals running back Joe Mixon has been seeing more work in the passing game lately as the team transitions away from the run.
Cincinnati Bengals running back Joe Mixon has been seeing more work in the passing game lately as the team transitions away from the run. / Kareem Elgazzar/The Enquirer / USA TODAY

The Cincinnati Bengals are on the hunt for their second playoff win in the last 30+ years but will have to do so on the road as 3.5 point underdogs to the Tennessee Titans. While the Bengals, like most teams, rely on their QB to get it done on offense, the Bengals have some strong role players to back Joe Burrow up. One such player is RB Joe Mixon, who had a decent game in the Wild Card round against the Las Vegas Raiders 

While Mixon was going off on the LV secondary, Mixon was busy with 17 rushing attempts for 48 yards. He added 4 catches for 28 yards. Not exactly a game-winning performance but Mixon served his purpose and opened up the passing game for Burrow. 

This week, Mixon will have a tougher test against the No. 1 seeded Tennessee Titans in the AFC Divisional round of games. The full betting preview for that game is available here. Will Mixon fare better or worse than last week? Let’s take a look over Mixon’s player props for tonight at WynnBET Sportsbook and make a few predictions. 

Joe Mixon Props vs. Titans

  • Player Total Reception Yards: 21.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
  • Player Total Rushing Yards: 58.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
  • Anytime TD scorer: -133
  • First TD and Bengals Win: +1300
  • Anytime TD and Bengals Win: +250

Mixon is in line for an expanded role in the air

Mixon is going to have a tougher time than usual tonight with the Titans' No. 2 ranked rushing defense in the NFL. The Titans allow just 84.6 rushing yards per game and 3.9 yards per rush. This alone has me on the fence about trusting Mixon to go OVER his prop of 58.5 rushing yards. With a heavy workload of 15+ touches, I think he gets there. But, the Bengals have transitioned into a very pass-first team and are putting the ball in the air almost 60 percent of the time. Hence why Henry has 17 targets in his last three games after seeing 17 targets in his previous eight games combined. Due to this, Mixon has gone OVER this total ust once in the last six weeks in a blowout win over the Ravens. 

After his recent string of success, I see Burrow’s role continuing to expand and the ground game to see less attention. While I think that this is the best path to success for the Bengals, it does mess with our player props for Mixon. 

I think that the best course of action in this game would be to take Mixon’s receiving yards total OVER 21.5 yards. Mixon has gone over this total in three games straight and had a 70-yard day against the Ravens three weeks ago. My recommendation would be to bet on this trend to continue and Mixon to see five or more targets in his fourth straight game.