It’s a Trap: Which NFL Week 4 Odds are Most Deceiving?

If betting on the NFL was as easy as betting on good teams and betting against bad teams, the Kansas City Chiefs wouldn’t be 1-12-1 against the spread in their last 14 games.

That’s why you should hesitate before betting on a spread that seems obvious. Of course, sometimes the obvious bet is the right one to make, but that certainly isn’t the case in every game.

Week 4 of the NFL season is presenting some lines that could be considered “trap” lines, and there are three in particular that bettors are pounding.

Let’s take a look at these games a little bit closer. All odds listed are courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.

Packers -7 vs Steelers

The Packers are coming off a huge Sunday night win over the 49ers, and look back to their normal selves after an abysmal Week 1 performance against the Saints. Meanwhile, the Steelers have looked lackluster as best in their two latest games after a strong upset win against the Bills in Week 1.

Both teams are trending in the opposite direction, which has caused the betting to be completely one sided in this game.

Are the Packers as good as they looked the past two weeks? Are the Steelers as bad as they’ve looked during that stretch? With the line set at 7-points and it not moving despite the amount of lopsided action, this could be setting us casual bettors up for a heart breaking loss.

Titans -7.5 vs Jets

The Jets are 0-3 through the first three weeks, and Zach Wilson has not looked like the savior of the franchise that people were hoping he’d be. They’ve averaged only 6.7 points per game, and were shut out by the Broncos last week.

So, the Titans to beat them by eight points seems obvious, right? Especially considering they have reigning offensive MVP Derrick Henry on their side.

Maybe not.

Yes, the Jets offense has looked bad, but they’ve faced the first, second, and fifth ranked scoring defenses so far this season. Now they play a Tennessee team that is dead last in takeaways, while also ranking 25th in opponent points per game (28). This could be a bounce back spot for the Jets offense getting seven points at home.

Chiefs -7.5 vs Eagles

Despite the Chiefs being 1-12-1 ATS in their last 14 games, they are once again touchdown favorites and the public is hammering them.

Before you run to WynnBET to fade the Eagles after a rough Monday night performance, let’s not forget this Chiefs defense is dead last in opponent yards per play at 7.0. They’re third last in opponent yards per carry at 5.4, while the Eagles rank second in yards per carry on offense at the same number of 5.4.

It’s easy to get seduced by Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City offense, but let’s remember that there’s two sides to the football.

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