KPMG Women's PGA Championship Final Score Prediction (How Will Top Players Fare at Congressional Country Club?)

Minjee Lee has two wins in her last three tournaments as she hopes to win her first Women's PGA Championship
Minjee Lee has two wins in her last three tournaments as she hopes to win her first Women's PGA Championship / Rey Del Rio/GettyImages

Nelly Korda won the 2021 Women's PGA Championship with an incredible 19-under par total score and hopes to defend her title at the Congressional Country Club in Washington, D.C., this weekend.

There's about nine million reasons to want to defend that title, as the 2022 KPMG Women's PGA Championship will be the largest purse ever at the tournament.

With so much at stake, it's important to know what the winning score may look like before we place our wagers over at WynnBET Sportsbook. Six of the last eight winners finished at least 10-under par, though the Congressional Country Club will feature a renovated course that none of the competitors have played at a major.

Keeping that in mind, here's how I think the event will play out:

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Women's PGA Championship Score Predictions

Winning Score: -13

The Congressional Country Club has long been a difficult course, but it's been remade to fit the modern golfer. Fairways are wider but shots need to be more strategic, as bunkers have been added and the attack angles changed.

Nelly Korda set a 72-hole record with her 19-under par score last year, but with a new course at hand I expect the scores to be higher this time around. The field is loaded, and the LPGA will want to avoid any one player running away with the title to maximize drama. Thus, I expect the conditions to play relatively difficult.

Nelly Korda (+900) Score Prediction: -12

Korda is in great position to defend her title and is coming off an impressive performance at the Meijer LPGA Classic in which she stormed back to force a playoff before losing to Jennifer Kupcho.

I think she'll come up just shy again but will be right in contention through the end of the weekend. She leads the Tour in Strokes Gained: Around-The-Green and is second in Strokes Gained: Total, so her precise play should give her a real shot at defending her championship.

Jin-Young Ko (+1100) Score Prediction: -7

Jin-Young Ko has been consistently great this season, posting four consecutive Top-20 finishes, including two top-five results.

She's fourth on Tour in scoring average and 11th in GIR percentage, but I think her relatively poor driving distance will keep her from posting the low score she'll need to win.

Lydia Ko (+1100) Score Prediction: -11

Lydia Ko has three straight finishes in the top five and her worst result this season was a T25, so she's in great form heading into the Women's PGA Championship.

She's the best on Tour with the flat stick, leading all golfers in Putting Average, but she also leads the Tour in Sand Saves. With the course adding bunkers, that ability to scramble from poor positions will be crucial and keep Ko in contention.

Minjee Lee (+1400) Score Prediction: -13

My pick to win this weekend, Lee historically hasn't performed well at the Women's PGA Championship. However, she's the best positioned to take advantage of the renovated Congressional Country Club and win it all.

Lee leads the Tour in Strokes Gained: Total, Off-The-Tee and Approach, as well as scoring average. There's no weakness in her game and she's peaking at the perfect time, giving herself a great opportunity to win her first Women's PGA Championship.

Alexis Thompson (+1400) Score Prediction: -9

Lexi Thompson was in position to win the Meijer LPGA Classic before finishing T5. She has three top-five finishes in her last five tournaments but is still seeking her first win of the season.

Thompson leads the Tour in GIR percentage and is second in scoring average, but I fear her putter will let her down. She ranks 76th in putting average, so if she can get hot with the putter she's got the profile to win.

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.