MLB Best Bets Today (Predictions for Yankees-Blue Jays, Andrew Heaney and Brewers-Reds)

New York Yankees starter Luis Severino.
New York Yankees starter Luis Severino. / Adam Hunger/GettyImages

Happy Father’s Day to all celebrating today, and I hope that you get to kick back, relax and take in some of the Major League Baseball action on this fine Sunday. 

I’m going to be doing that myself, and making some bets while I’m at it. I have one run line pick on my New York Yankees, a player prop on Los Angeles Dodgers starter Andrew Heaney and one favorite to back in the National League. 

Let’s jump into the picks, with odds via WynnBET

MLB Best Bets Today

  • New York Yankees -1.5 vs. Toronto Blue Jays (+100)
  • Andrew Heaney UNDER 4.5 Strikeouts (+110)
  • Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline vs. Cincinnati Reds (-145)

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: Yankees -1.5 (+100)

Is there anything to do but bet on the Yankees right now

New York has won nine of its last 10 games and now has a 12-game lead on the Toronto Blue Jays in the American League East. Sure, the Yankees may need to cool off soon, but I’m not going to be the one betting on it. 

Over the last 15 days, the Yankees rank second in OPS (they are first for the season), third in team ERA (they are first for the season) and fourth in runs scored (they are second for the season). 

This team is playing at an elite level, and now it faces a starter in Yusei Kikuchi that it has beaten twice already this season. New York is also 13-11 on the run line as a road favorite this season.  

I’ll back the Yanks at plus money to get this win streak to 10 pretty easily. 

Andrew Heaney UNDER 4.5 Strikeouts (+110)

Andrew Heaney is making his third start of the season after landing on injured list back in April, and I’m going to fade his strikeout prop against a stingy Cleveland Guardians offense. 

The Guardians strike out just 6.79 times per game, the best mark in MLB, and Heaney may not be able to give the Los Angeles Dodgers a ton of length considering he hasn’t pitched at the major league level in two months. 

Heaney did punch out 16 batters over his first two starts, but I think there is value on the under here if the Guardians continue their disciplined approach at the dish. 

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds: Brewers Moneyline (-145)

This is a less-than-inspiring pitching matchup between Adrian Houser and Mike Minor, but you will not catch me backing Minor, who has been downright awful this season

Minor is 1-2 with a 7.36 ERA through his first three starts, and he’s allowed at least three runs in every start. The Brewers have rebounded after a rough patch to win back-to-back games, and I think they can complete the sweep here. 

Houser’s FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) of 4.03 is slightly better than his ERA, and I think he’s due for a bounce-back start after two tough matchups against elite offenses like the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets. 

Cincy is just 21st in baseball in OPS this year. I think the Brewers give Houser enough run support to grab the victory today.

Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.