NBA Best Bets (Predictions for Tyrese Haliburton, Pacers-Sixers and Jaylen Brown on Monday)

Boston Celtics guard Jaylen Brown.
Boston Celtics guard Jaylen Brown. / Nell Redmond-USA TODAY Sports

Will today be the day the Philadelphia 76ers get in the win column?

Philly is 0-3 to start the 2022-23 season, but it has an easier matchup with the Indiana Pacers on Monday night at Wells Fargo Center. With the Philadelphia Phillies making the World Series and the Philadelphia Eagles undefeated, can the Sixers carry their weight for the city?

I'm not sold on it in today's NBA Best Bets, where we're looking to bounce back after the first non-profitable day of the season on Sunday.

Brandon Ingram's concussion foiled one of our plays yesterday, but that isn't stopping me from going back to the player prop waters, this time on Tyrese Haliburton and birthday boy Jaylen Brown.

Three picks for Monday Oct. 24! Let's ride:

NBA Best Bets Record to Date

NBA Best Bets Today

  • Tyrese Haliburton OVER 32.5 Points, Rebounds, Assists (-125)
  • Jaylen Brown OVER 22.5 Points (-125)
  • Indiana Pacers +12.5 vs. Philadelphia 76ers (-110)

Tyrese Haliburton OVER 32.5 Points, Rebounds, Assists (-125)

Tyrese Haliburton is HERE, and he’s showing that the Indiana Pacers were smart to start their rebuild with him as the centerpiece. 

Through three games this season, Haliburton is averaging 25.7 points, 3.7 rebounds and 9.7 assists per game while shooting 50.0 percent from the field and 41.2 percent from beyond the arc. That’s All-Star caliber production, albeit for a rebuilding squad. 

Tonight, Haliburton gets to face the 0-3 Philadelphia 76ers, who are desperate for a win. With his PRA prop set at 32.5, I can’t help but look at it as a gift from Vegas. 

Maybe it’s a bit of a trap since the Sixers are playing at the slowest pace in the NBA, but let’s be honest, Haliburton has cleared this prop easily in three games going for 37, 42 and 38 PRA. 

Jaylen Brown OVER 22.5 Points (-125)

Today is Jaylen Brown’s birthday, so we know he’s going to want to show out against the Chicago Bulls

Brown’s points prop is set at 22.5, and I can’t help but think it’s an overreaction to his 4-for-16 shooting game against the Orlando Magic on Saturday. 

The Celtics All-Star wing had dropped 35 and 28 points in the first two games of the season, and he’s taken 58 field goals through three games this season. With Jayson Tatum’s points prop set at 26.5, I think there is value on taking Brown, who is still a focal point of this offense, to clear this number. 

Chicago allowed 128 points to the Cavs in their last game, so another higher-scoring game would benefit Brown in a big way. 

Indiana Pacers +12.5 vs. Philadelphia 76ers (-110)

This is wayyyyy too many points to give the Sixers, who have looked terrible to start this season. They are coming off a straight up loss to the San Antonio Spurs as 13-point favorites. 

As I mentioned earlier, the Sixers play at the slowest pace in the NBA, so it’s going to be hard for them to build a big lead unless they are clicking on all cylinders, something that hasn’t happened in the 2022-23 season. 

One reason why? Philly’s bench has been awful, with De’Anthony Melton and Georges Niang looking like the only two players that Doc Rivers trusts to play significant minutes.

The Pacers are 1-2, but they have kept every game with 10 points, losing by seven to the Washington Wizards, three to the Spurs and beating the Detroit Pistons by nine. 

Indiana is also eighth in offensive rating to Philly’s 24th this season,  so I think the Pacers can keep up scoring wise to keep this within 12.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.