NBA Best Bets Today (Predictions for Steph Curry, Bobby Portis and Celtics vs. Bucks)

It’s been a good day before the NBA playoff games even start, because yours truly cashed his Nikola Jokic MVP ticket on Monday morning at 12/1 odds!

That’s some good juju right there, and I’m hoping to carry it into my picks for the Boston Celtics-Milwaukee Bucks early tip, as well as the Golden State Warriors-Memphis Grizzlies matchup on Monday night. 

Let’s jump right into today’s picks!

All odds via WynnBET:

NBA Best Bets Record to Date

• NBA Best Bets Record: 227-211-5 (+7.5806 units)

Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record in the NBA this season here.

NBA Best Bets Today

• Bobby Portis OVER 11.5 Points (-115)
• Steph Curry OVER 26.5 Points (-120)
• Boston Celtics Moneyline vs. Milwaukee Bucks (-105)

Bobby Portis OVER 11.5 Points (-115)

Bobby Portis scored just nine points on 3-of-9 shooting in Game 3, as he came off the bench but still played 25 minutes. 

Portis had cleared this line in five straight before his nine-point Game 3, so I think we’re getting a major discount on him here. 

Had Portis’ minutes slipped in a bench role I would have stayed away, but he has played 32, 26 and 25 minutes in each game in this series. Back Bobby P to hit the OVER. 

Steph Curry OVER 26.5 Points (-120)

I know Dillon Brooks is back for the Memphis Grizzlies to defend Steph Curry, but Curry has been elite in these playoffs, scoring 27 or more points in six of his last seven games. 

Curry only needed 14 shots to score 30 points in Game 3, and the Grizzlies’ offense is going to be worse off with Ja Morant looking unlikely to play on Monday. 

I think we’re getting some value on Steph here at 26.5. 

There is also another Warriors player that I like on an alternate line, Jordan Poole, to score 25+ points, something he’s done in five of eight playoff games this season. His current line is projected for 20.5, so there's a nice plus-odds payout coming if it comes through.

I’m not entirely sure if I’m going to pull the trigger yet, but something to check where you are betting. 

Boston Celtics vs. Milwaukee Bucks: Celtics Moneyline (-105)

It’s hard to count this Boston team out, especially since the Celtics have only played on solid half in this series, yet they have been in every game. 

The Celtics really slowed down Antetokounmpo early in the series, but he may have figured something out in Game 3, shooting 16-for-30 from the field. 

The question in this game is whether or not Tatum will turn things around after shooting 0-for-10 when defended by Wesley Matthews in Game 3. 

The Bucks’ role players need to play better as well with Khris Middleton out, but I trust Tatum more to get back on track in Game 4. This series has seven games written all over it, and I think Boston helps put it on track for seven with a win on the road.