NFL Best Bets for Week 11 (Dallas Predicted to Beat Minnesota, Two UNDERs to Play)

The playoff picture is becoming a little clearer with each week of the NFL season, and Week 11 could be a make or break week for some teams that are on the brink of falling out of contention. 

Every week, we share our best bets in the NFL to help you make your picks for the weekend slate. 

The BetSided team is now 24-20-2 with our best bet picks this season, and we have four more for you in Week 11!  

NFL Best Bets for Week 11

• Dallas Cowboys -1.5 vs. Minnesota Vikings (-110)
• Dallas Cowboys ML (-120) at Minnesota Vikings
• Detroit Lions vs. New York Giants Under 45 (-110)
• Las Vegas Raiders-Denver Broncos UNDER 41 (-110)

Dallas Cowboys -1.5 vs. Minnesota Vikings (-110)

The Minnesota Vikings deserve credit for completing the comeback against the Buffalo Bills, but I’m going to focus on the fact they were down by that much in the first place. Minnesota has struggled against playoff teams this season. It needed a miracle fumble to get back into the game and that luck will run out this week. 

Dallas’ defense is fifth in opponent points per game, fourth in opponent yards per pass and first in sack percentage. The Cowboys will be able to create pressure on Kirk Cousins and disrupt his timing. On top of that, Dak Prescott and the Cowboys’ offense looked pretty good for a majority of the Packers’ game. They couldn’t get the job done against Green Bay, but they’ll knock off another NFC North team. – Donnavan Smoot

Dallas Cowboys ML (-120) at Minnesota Vikings

The Cowboys' overtime loss last week on the road in Green Bay, blowing a 14-point lead in the final quarter was as improbable as it sounds.

Via ESPN Stats and Info, it was the first time the Cowboys ever gave up that big of a lead late and lost the game.

Now, imagine if the roles were reversed, and it was the Vikings who coughed up a two touchdown lead late, rather than all the way back. Think the line would be a bit different? I do.

The Cowboys' pass rush will be a nightmare for Kirk Cousins, even at home where he's put up far superior numbers than on the road. Furthermore, Dallas' offense matches up very well vs. the Vikings, who rank 28th in opponent yards per play, as well as second-to-last in opponent scoring percentage in the red zone.

The Vikings deserve credit for their ability to come back in games, but I don't think lightning strikes twice in Minneapolis in the late afternoon window Sunday. I'll take the Cowboys on the moneyline. - Ben Heisler

Detroit Lions vs. New York Giants UNDER 45 (-110)

Another week, another opportunity to back the best betting trend in the NFL: UNDERS in Giants home games!

The under is now 15-1-1 in New York’s last 17 home games, and I’m not missing out on an opportunity to ride this gravy train.

Detroit’s reputation is that of a great offense and horrific defense. However, while the Lions rank fifth in yards per play (5.9) on the season, their 5.3 mark on the road would rank 19th. As a result, the under is 8-4 in Detroit’s last dozen games as road underdogs. 

The Giants’ offense averages only 4.7 yards per play at home, which would be the worst mark in the NFL overall, and I foresee Detroit shutting Daniel Jones down the same way it did Aaron Rodgers. 

Back the under to improve to 16-1-1 in the Giants’ last 18 home games as each defense reigns supreme. -Joe Summers

Las Vegas Raiders-Denver Broncos UNDER 41 (-110)

The Denver Broncos are the worst offensive team in the NFL, averaging just 14.6 points per game, and now they host the Las Vegas Raiders who are sputtering at this point in the season. 

Denver hasn’t scored more than 23 points in a game this season, and it is the best UNDER team in the NFL.

Yes, the one game the Broncos went OVER came against the Raiders on the road, but I have zero faith in Josh McDaniels' squad after it scored just 40 points over the last three weeks. 

Blindly betting Broncos unders has been a very profitable strategy, so let’s just stay under again in Week 11. – Peter Dewey

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.