NFL Picks: Colts vs. Ravens Best Bets for Monday Night Football
By Peter Dewey
The Indianapolis Colts will go on the road to face the Baltimore Ravens in Week on Monday Night Football.
Baltimore, winners of three straight, is favored by a touchdown in this one at WynnBET Sportsbook with the total set at 46.5.
Lamar Jackson and company are rolling after a huge win over the Kansas City Chiefs back in Week 2, and they face a Colts team that has struggled mightily this season in the red zone, leading to a 1-3 start.
Indy’s only win came against Jacoby Brissett and the Miami Dolphins, so Carson Wentz and Frank Reich need to turn things around fast if they want a shot at the postseason.
While there are plenty of player props to look at in this matchup, which we’ve done here, let’s break down our best bets for tonight’s matchup:
Indianapolis Colts Team Total Under 19.5 (-115)
The Colts scored 27 points last week, which may throw teams off the scent that they are struggling on offense, 22nd in EPA/play this season. While the Ravens have dealt with a host of injuries, the defense has been sturdy as usual, allowing 24 points combined over the past two weeks.
Baltimore is going to control the rock against an Indy defense that is outside the top 20 in defensive success rate. The team's ground heavy approach will move the chains, and limit the Colts time with the ball. Add in Indianapolis' poor red zone metrics, scoring a touchdown on 40% of drives inside the opponent's 20, the Colts will stay under their team total. I envision a low scoring primetime matchup. -- Reed Wallach
Marquise Brown OVER 54.5 Receiving Yards (-125)
Other than his dropped-filled Week 3, Marquise Brown has easily hit the over on this number in every other game this season.
He’s caught a touchdown in three of his four games this season, and he’s averaging a career-high 17.2 yards per reception. The Colts are allowing 7.3 net yards gained per pass attempt this season (eighth-worst mark in the NFL) which bodes well for Brown’s downfield prowess.
The Ravens are heavily favored in this game, and I wouldn’t be surprised if John Harbaugh let Jackson take a couple extra shots downfield this week after his 316-yard performance in Week 4.
Lamar has looked to Brown all year as his top option on the outside and I don’t expect that to change against Indy. -- Peter Dewey
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