NFL Power Rankings Based On Super Bowl Odds Ahead of Week 4
By Peter Dewey
Who would have thought that three weeks into the NFL season that the Kansas City Chiefs would be in last place in the AFC West and already passed up at the top of the odds to win the Super Bowl?
Maybe Josh Gordon can help fix things for the Chiefs, but they haven’t looked like the same team early this season with defensive struggles and turnovers plaguing their offense.
They also weren’t the only Super Bowl favorite to lose on Sunday, as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers couldn’t handle Matthew Stafford and the Los Angeles Rams in Week 3. Does this mean we have a new No. 1 in this week’s power rankings?
Every week this season, yours truly delivers NFL Power Rankings that incorporate each team’s Super Bowl odds at WynnBET Sportsbook as they change each week. You can check out last week’s edition here.
Where does each team stack up ahead of Week 4?
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1. Los Angeles Rams (3-0, +800) Last Week: No. 3
It's been a blast watching Matthew Stafford actually play on a good team. The veteran threw for four touchdowns in the Rams' win over the Bucs, and Los Angeles could find itself as the favorite in the NFC sooner rather than later if it can keep up this play.
2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1, +600) LW: No. 1
I don't want to take the loss to the Rams and make it sound like the sky is falling for the defending champs, but they have some serious holes to fix in the secondary. Sean Murphy-Bunting's injury is looming large, but the Bucs have a revenge matchup for Tom Brady in Week 4 against the Patriots.
3. Green Bay Packers (2-1, +1300) LW: No. 5
Aaron Rodgers has silenced the critics with back-to-back strong performances to get the Packers back over .500. His game-winning drive with just 37 seconds left and no timeouts was pure magic, and the Packers are a contender as long as he's under center.
4. Buffalo Bills (2-1, +1000) LW: No. 7
Josh Allen looked like his 2020 self in Week 3, totaling five touchdowns in a rout of the Washington Football Team. The Bills' defense has impressed over the last two weeks, allowing just 21 points and forcing six turnovers. They should have no problem locking up the AFC East this season.
5. Kansas City Chiefs (1-2, +700) LW: No. 2
Kansas City need to figure things out because the rest of the AFC West is starting to catch up. The Chargers (who beat the Chiefs on Sunday), Broncos and Raiders are a combined 8-1 this season. Kansas City is going to be fine, but there are glaring issues (turnover margin, rush and pass defense) that are making Chiefs bettors a little nervous at the moment.
6. Baltimore Ravens (2-1, +1500) LW: No. 6
Justin Tucker saved the day for Baltimore in Week 3 against the Detroit Lions, but a bunch of Marquise Brown drops really hurt the offense in this one. Still, Lamar Jackson found a way to give his team a chance in the fourth, and the Ravens have rebounded nicely from their Week 1 loss with reinforcements (Rashod Bateman, Myles Boykin) on their way back soon.
7. San Francisco 49ers (2-1, +1400) LW: No. 4
Losing to Aaron Rodgers isn't a season-changing defeat, but Jimmy Garoppolo and company had a chance to steal this one. The 49ers left too much time (37 seconds and no timeouts) for Rodgers to get down the field for a game-winning field goal. Still, the 49ers were able to compete with one of the NFC's elite, and that's a good sign going forward.
8. Cleveland Browns (2-1, +1300) LW: No. 9
Myles Garrett and the Browns defense made Justin Fields' first career start a nightmare on Sunday. Kareem Hunt and Nick Chubb are running all over people to start the season, and with Odell Beckham Jr. back in the lineup, the Browns are on the upswing.
9. Los Angeles Chargers (2-1, +1800) LW: No. 13
If you take down Patrick Mahomes and company at Arrowhead, you deserve some respect. Justin Herbert is the real deal, and he's made this offense even better under Joe Lombardi with Mike Williams' new role. I'm buying this Chargers team early on in the season.
10. Arizona Cardinals (3-0, +2000) LW: No. 8
Arizona was shaky against the Jaguars, but it did enough to win a game that it may have lost in previous years. Now the Cardinals face their tough part of their schedule with the Rams, 49ers and Browns coming up in the next three games.
11. Dallas Cowboys (2-1, +2000) LW: No. 12
Dan Quinn's defense dismantled Jalen Hurts and the Eagles on Monday Night Football, and the Cowboys' two-headed rushing attack of Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard is looking like one of the best in the league. The NFC East is Dallas' for the taking from here on out.
12. New Orleans Saints (2-1, +3000) LW: No. 15
The Saints returned to their Week 1 form in Week 3, picking off Mac Jones three times on their way to an easy win. New Orleans has been playing away from home due to Hurricane Ida, and it could be in line for some positive regression these next few weeks.
13. Denver Broncos (3-0, +3500) LW: No. 14
Denver hasn't played anyone with a win (Giants, Jets and Jaguars are all 0-3), but it has done what its supposed to do, beat everyone on the schedule. Vic Fangio's defense has allowed just 26 points through three weeks, but injuries to K.J. Hamler and Jerry Jeudy will test Teddy Bridgewater and the offense against Baltimore in Week 4.
14. Las Vegas Raiders (3-0, +4000) LW: No. 11
The Raiders nearly blew Sunday's game against Jacoby Brissett and the Dolphins, but a huge catch by Bryan Edwards in overtime set up Daniel Carlson's game-winning field goal. The Chargers are up next in what should be a great Monday Night Football matchup.
15. Carolina Panthers (3-0, +6000) LW: No. 17
The Panthers are 3-0, but they lost Christian McCaffrey and Jaycee Horn in Thursday's win over Houston. Things get much tougher against Dallas in Week 4, but Matt Rhule's team has been impressive so far.
16. Tennessee Titans (2-1, +2500) LW: No. 18
The Titans have rebounded nicely from a horrible Week 1 loss to Arizona. With the Colts and Jaguars at 0-3 and the Texans (1-2) starting a third-round rookie quarterback, the Titans have a chance to run away with the division early on this season.
17. Seattle Seahawks (1-2, +2500) LW: No. 10
The Seahawks have shot themselves in the foot after blowing a lead in Week 2 against Tennessee, as they are now projected to finish in last in the NFC West. As good as the offense looked the first two weeks, they struggled without Tyler Lockett in Week 3, and that's a bad sign for Russell Wilson and company going forward.
18. Cincinnati Bengals (2-1, +15000) LW: No. 25
Joe Burrow to Ja'Marr Chase. Rinse and repeat. The Bengals blew out the Steelers in Week 3, and had it not been for three Burrow turnovers in Week 2, they may be 3-0 right now. Cincinnati is trending upward heading into a Week 4 tilt with Jags on Thursday Night Football.
19. Minnesota Vikings (1-2, +5000) LW: No. 26
The Vikings lost two games by a combined four points to open the season, but they rebounded at home in Week 3 against Seattle. Kirk Cousins and this passing attack have dominated early in the season, but Minnesota's defense needs to come around if it wants to make the playoffs.
20. New England Patriots (1-2, +6000) LW: No. 19
Mac Jones looked like a rookie in Week 3, but he didn't get much help from his receivers (I'm looking at you, Jonnu Smith) either. The Patriots have an extremely tough game against the Bucs in Week 4, but I'm not counting out Bill Belichick's team just yet.
21. Miami Dolphins (1-2, +6000) LW: No. 20
Miami is struggling mightily on offense without Tua Tagovailoa, but Brissett did flash some potential at the end of the loss against the Raiders. Still, the Dolphins are facing an uphill battle to reach double-digit wins for the second straight season.
22. Pittsburgh Steelers (1-2, +7500) LW: No. 16
Ben Roethlisberger looks washed, with all due respect, and the Steelers' offense was stuck in mud all day against Cincinnati in Week 3, averaging just 4.4 yards per play. Pittsburgh's defense needs T.J. Watt back, but I'm not sure the Roethlisberger can take this team anywhere near the playoffs this season.
23. Washington Football Team (1-2, +7500) LW: No. 22
Washington was outclassed by the Bills in Week 3, but it has a bounce-back spot against the Falcons in Week 4. However, the defense needs to find its mojo from last season if Washington wants to do anything with Taylor Heinicke under center.
24. Indianapolis Colts (0-3, +7500) LW: No. 21
The Colts have scored four touchdowns in 11 red zone trips this season. That inefficiency simply isn't going to get it done, even in a horrible AFC South.
25. Philadelphia Eagles (1-2, +7500) LW: No. 24
The Eagles did not look good on Monday Night Football, and Nick Sirianni needs to find better ways to involve his running game to put Jalen Hurts in a position to succeed. Miles Sanders and Kenneth Gainwell had just three carries combined in last night's loss.
26. Atlanta Falcons (1-2, +20000) LW: No. 30
Atlanta pulled off a comeback win in an ugly game against the Giants on Sunday. There may not be many more to come this season, but at least the Falcons showed they can beat one of the league's worst teams.
27. Chicago Bears (1-2, +15000) LW: No. 23
Justin Fields and the Bears put up one net passing yard against the Browns in Week 3, and Matt Nagy now has every quarterback as an option to start in Week 4. This is getting worse each week, and it may be time to show Nagy the exit from Soldier Field and Halas Hall.
28. Houston Texans (1-2, +100000) LW: No. 27
Davis Mills kept the Texans in the game in his first career start, but there just isn't enough talent on this team to win many games. Houston somehow is in second in the AFC South.
29. Detroit Lions (0-3, +100000) LW: No. 28
The Lions nearly pulled off the upset of the year against the Ravens in Week 3, and Dan Campbell's team has hung around in each matchup so far this season.
30. New York Giants (0-3, +15000) LW: No. 29
Is it safe to say that the Joe Judge experiment was a failure? The Giants couldn't even beat the Falcons at home, and Jason Garrett's offense (how does he still have a job) looked horrible again. Not only that, but Sterling Shepard and Darius Slayton were both injured in the loss!
31. Jacksonville Jaguars (0-3, +100000) LW: No. 32
Either Urban Meyer really doesn't know what he's doing, or we were all too quick to ordain Trevor Lawrence the next big thing. Or both. Lawrence has thrown seven interceptions in three games and buried the Jags with a terrible pick-six on Sunday.
32. New York Jets (0-3, +100000) LW: No. 31
The Jets were shut out by the Broncos in Week 3 and Zach Wilson struggled again to get in a rhythm. Robert Saleh keeps saying the team is having great weeks of practice, but it hasn't shown up once in a game.
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