Betsided

NHL Best Bets Today (Jump on Capitals as Underdogs in Vancouver)

By Iain MacMillan

Nov 25, 2022; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; Washington Capitals left wing Alex Ovechkin
Nov 25, 2022; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; Washington Capitals left wing Alex Ovechkin / Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports
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An Evan Bouchard goal with five seconds left in the game between the Edmonton Oilers and Florida Panthers guaranteed the OVER would hit which completed the 3-0 sweep for us on the ice last night!

Let's keep the momentum going as we look at tonight's slate. There's nine games on the board, so we have plenty of options to look at.

Let's dive into my three top picks for Tuesday, Nov. 29.

NHL Best Bets Record-to-Date

  • 62-57-1 (+3.39 units)

NHL Best Bets Today (Tuesday, November 29)

  • Hurricanes +100 vs. Penguins
  • Ducks/Predators UNDER 6.5 (-115)
  • Capitals +104 vs. Canucks

Hurricanes +100 vs. Penguins

I'm of the firm belief that the Carolina Hurricanes are the best and most complete team in the NHL, so I'll jump on them any time that they're listed at plus-money. They lead the league in CORSI% (61.17%), FENWICK% (60.16%), and they're inside the top five in both expected goals for and expected goals against.

The big advantage they have over the Penguins is their play in their own end, allowing 0.43 fewer goals per game. I'm willing to bet on them as slight road underdogs in this spot.

Ducks/Predators UNDER 6.5 (-115)

The Anaheim Ducks and Nashville Predators have sported two of the worst offenses in the NHL this season, so I won't hesitate taking the UNDER with the total set at 6.5. Heading into tonight, they rank 29th and 30th in goals per 60 minutes, combining for an average of only 5.01.

Their defenses also leave a lot to be desired, but considering they also rank 28th and 29th in shooting percentage, I have little concern they'll fill the net against each other tonight.

Capitals +104 vs. Canucks

After a slow start to their season, the Washington Capitals have begun to pick it up in recent weeks. Over each team's last 10 games, Washington ranks thid in CORSI% at 53.77%. Over that same stretch, the Canucks are down at 25th at 47.30%.

Vancouver has been scoring a ton of goals lately, but the numbers indicate we'll see some regression in that area. They're scoring 3.79 goals per 60 minutes over their last 10 games, but their expected goals per game over that stretch is only 2.66, a difference of 1.13 goals per night.

Don't expect the Canucks' shooting to stay this hot and now might be a good time to sell high on them.

You can track Iain's bets on Betstamp here.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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